Post by Onyango Oloo on Oct 14, 2005 10:29:18 GMT 3
Onyango Oloo Offers a Face Saver for the Bananiacs- Free of Charge...
PART ONE
Wikipedia informs me that an
exit strategy (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exit_strategy) is:
a means of escaping one's current situation, typically an unfavourable situation. An organization or individual without an exit strategy may be in a quagmire. At worst, an exit strategy will save face; at best, an exit strategy will peg a withdrawal to the achievement of an objective worth more than the cost of continued involvement.
That is what I want to provide President Kibaki and his beleaguered Bananiacs.
I may get speared fatally by some of my fellow Orangemates because this is giving succor to the so called "enemy".
I prefer to look at things differently.
One of the gravest dangers wrought by this campaign is this perception of "enemy camps" forgeting that we are actually talking about is a very spirited national democratic debate pitting Kenyans who have different visions and agendas for the country.
As a Marxist-Leninist I do not buy the bleeding heart, wishy-washy weepy liberal hand-wringing of Rodney King’s "Can’t We’all Just Get Along?" fretting.
Kenya is divided into social classes with diametrically different interests; our ideological differences, when these are present are ultimately based on these social class cleavages. That is why I do not think there is such a thing as a Luo agenda, a Gikuyu agenda, a women’s agenda , a youth agenda, a Wazee’s agenda and so on and so forth. Not all Luos think alike; not all Gikuyus sing from the same hymn book; a rich woman who lives in Muthaiga like, say the First Lady has very little in common with the niece of her maid who lives in Korogocho; a teenager whose father is a cabinet minister or millionaire tycoon can not claim to know what it is like to wake up as a standard eight drop out tending his grandpa’s goats in Ikomero. Our country is already divided and therefore the referendum will not tear us apart.
So that is NOT what I am worried about.
What concerns me is that we may be losing sight of one of the most valuable lessons of our emerging democratic experience as Kenyans.
Can we, for instance, go through a referendum as feisty as the one we have immersed ourselves in without concomitantly planting the seeds of generations’ long seething feuds?
I believe we can and we must.
For the last five years I have lived in Quebec- which is a country or a province depending on whether you are a Sovereignist or a Federalist in Canadian terms. This region in North America has gone through TWO referenda in the last 25 years,
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1995_Quebec_referendum
one in 1980 and the other one in 1995. Both were fractious, ferocious and pugnaciously contested right down to the wire. Tears of joys and tears of bitterness flowed freely from the passionate eyelids of Quebeckers and Canadians either celebrating their side’s victory or cursing out convenient scapegoats for their unfortunate loss.
But you know what:
There have been no Commissions of Inquiry set up to investigate Anglo-Franco communal bloodbaths. Simply because there were none. The people of Quebec went through two highly charged referenda in which political careers were made or lost- but ultimately the losing side accepted the razor thin verdict of the electorate. In both cases, the losing side happened to be the provincial government of the day. Rene Levesque the legendary PQ leader in 1980 did not shed off his dapper suits to launch a guerrilla campaign against the Federal government led at that time by Montréal home boy Pierre Trudeau; in 1995 Quebec Premier Jacques Parizeau made some comments between gritted teeth widely interpreted as borderline racist and even coded anti-Semitism (alleging that the Sovereignist side lost because of “money and the ethnic vote”) and obviously Bloc Quebecois leader Lucien Bouchard was not exactly jumping for joy; none of the two leaders of the Yes side however sulked away from Canada or threatened to “deport” Jews, Caucasians of British descent or English speaking immigrants to Alberta, Ontario and BC.
Instead, life went on, not as usual, but life went on as the Sovereignists (derisively referred to as “Separatists” by the Federalists) mulled over the future of Quebec. As I write these lines, Quebec is still part of the Federal Government of Canada- and still plotting its escape to its presumed independent destiny.
In our Kenyan case, this is the first time we are dealing with a referendum and perhaps it is tempting to see more to the referendum than is actually there. The Republic of Kenya will not collapse and disappear if this side or that side loses.
One side is going to lose for sure and I have already stated quite categorically that it is the Yes side, the Bananiacs who are going to lose and lose badly- even if they stuff the ballots, even if they organize massacres; even if they lock up all the Orange leaders and detain them a week before the referendum- they are still going to lose and lose handily, without any ambiguity whatsoever. It will not even be a close vote.
(CONTINUED)
PART ONE
Wikipedia informs me that an
exit strategy (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exit_strategy) is:
a means of escaping one's current situation, typically an unfavourable situation. An organization or individual without an exit strategy may be in a quagmire. At worst, an exit strategy will save face; at best, an exit strategy will peg a withdrawal to the achievement of an objective worth more than the cost of continued involvement.
That is what I want to provide President Kibaki and his beleaguered Bananiacs.
I may get speared fatally by some of my fellow Orangemates because this is giving succor to the so called "enemy".
I prefer to look at things differently.
One of the gravest dangers wrought by this campaign is this perception of "enemy camps" forgeting that we are actually talking about is a very spirited national democratic debate pitting Kenyans who have different visions and agendas for the country.
As a Marxist-Leninist I do not buy the bleeding heart, wishy-washy weepy liberal hand-wringing of Rodney King’s "Can’t We’all Just Get Along?" fretting.
Kenya is divided into social classes with diametrically different interests; our ideological differences, when these are present are ultimately based on these social class cleavages. That is why I do not think there is such a thing as a Luo agenda, a Gikuyu agenda, a women’s agenda , a youth agenda, a Wazee’s agenda and so on and so forth. Not all Luos think alike; not all Gikuyus sing from the same hymn book; a rich woman who lives in Muthaiga like, say the First Lady has very little in common with the niece of her maid who lives in Korogocho; a teenager whose father is a cabinet minister or millionaire tycoon can not claim to know what it is like to wake up as a standard eight drop out tending his grandpa’s goats in Ikomero. Our country is already divided and therefore the referendum will not tear us apart.
So that is NOT what I am worried about.
What concerns me is that we may be losing sight of one of the most valuable lessons of our emerging democratic experience as Kenyans.
Can we, for instance, go through a referendum as feisty as the one we have immersed ourselves in without concomitantly planting the seeds of generations’ long seething feuds?
I believe we can and we must.
For the last five years I have lived in Quebec- which is a country or a province depending on whether you are a Sovereignist or a Federalist in Canadian terms. This region in North America has gone through TWO referenda in the last 25 years,
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1995_Quebec_referendum
one in 1980 and the other one in 1995. Both were fractious, ferocious and pugnaciously contested right down to the wire. Tears of joys and tears of bitterness flowed freely from the passionate eyelids of Quebeckers and Canadians either celebrating their side’s victory or cursing out convenient scapegoats for their unfortunate loss.
But you know what:
There have been no Commissions of Inquiry set up to investigate Anglo-Franco communal bloodbaths. Simply because there were none. The people of Quebec went through two highly charged referenda in which political careers were made or lost- but ultimately the losing side accepted the razor thin verdict of the electorate. In both cases, the losing side happened to be the provincial government of the day. Rene Levesque the legendary PQ leader in 1980 did not shed off his dapper suits to launch a guerrilla campaign against the Federal government led at that time by Montréal home boy Pierre Trudeau; in 1995 Quebec Premier Jacques Parizeau made some comments between gritted teeth widely interpreted as borderline racist and even coded anti-Semitism (alleging that the Sovereignist side lost because of “money and the ethnic vote”) and obviously Bloc Quebecois leader Lucien Bouchard was not exactly jumping for joy; none of the two leaders of the Yes side however sulked away from Canada or threatened to “deport” Jews, Caucasians of British descent or English speaking immigrants to Alberta, Ontario and BC.
Instead, life went on, not as usual, but life went on as the Sovereignists (derisively referred to as “Separatists” by the Federalists) mulled over the future of Quebec. As I write these lines, Quebec is still part of the Federal Government of Canada- and still plotting its escape to its presumed independent destiny.
In our Kenyan case, this is the first time we are dealing with a referendum and perhaps it is tempting to see more to the referendum than is actually there. The Republic of Kenya will not collapse and disappear if this side or that side loses.
One side is going to lose for sure and I have already stated quite categorically that it is the Yes side, the Bananiacs who are going to lose and lose badly- even if they stuff the ballots, even if they organize massacres; even if they lock up all the Orange leaders and detain them a week before the referendum- they are still going to lose and lose handily, without any ambiguity whatsoever. It will not even be a close vote.
(CONTINUED)