Reason why I think Annan talk is headed to failure

[pippyza]

I have retrieved a very useful information from BBC that actually reveals the stand of Kenya´s only hope " His Excellency, Dr. Kofi Annan´s mediation".

Annan thinks that a re-run would only result into more Chaos. That in itself is a blunder. Who is dreaming out there that Kibaki would accept a powerful Prime- Minister?? then i say you should be one of the so called day-dreamers.

As i quoted before in my previous threads, Annan is seaking Peace as a priority and this way, he can miraculously achieve some calm NOT peace.

All the past topics that both parties have agreed upon and (probably) signed are obvious. I mean if somebody asks a warlord as to whether he´d prefer peace to war, he´s obviously say I want Peace but this does not necessarity constitute an absent of his Wars!!.. To me, denouncing violence, holding peace rallies are issues cheap to concede. So I think the news from negotiation tables concerning solutions to our National problem have so far been deceptive. The Problem is One and it is Justice. The international media have deliberately chosen to dwell on tribalism at the expense of a visible Injustice (cited with evidence), Knowing pretty well that Tribalism is not the Problem in Kenya.I mean, I am Kalenjin but I am still roasting weekend nyama choma with my Kyuk friends.

" In simple terms, If Annan will not talk about the rectification of deliberately managed rigging by the Electaoral Commission and the High Court during the tallying and declaring Kibaki´s second term respectively, These talks are painfully bound to fail".

That the outcome of another poll would result into further violence should not be his business, he should mediate with a goal to reaching a Just and Peaceful resolution and then hand over the findings to the Afro-Union, The UN and every other interested parties. FULL STOP

Here is the link that helped me come to this idea

news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/7226676.stm

[JAHAATWACH]

I am nervous about this Annan-led boardroom solution to the Kenyan crisis.

I have been asking around but no one seems to have a clue on the legal imperatives.Maybe I am asking the wrong type but the more I inquire the more I become hopeless.

The assumption that Kibaki will bow to international pressure and give way for an interim government may be just that unless this whole process get the badly needed constitutional/legal framework.

It bothers me that PNU is calling IGAD meeting,slamming door shut on the South African negotiator and with a whiff of mischief digging in on the due process and constitutionality as the basis for negotiation which is a Way of saying Kibaki won't honour ODM's demand because his hands are tied by law.

Even if you choose to look beyond the pen-to-parchment phase of this negotiation, the Accord will be more of a gentleman's agreement with no primacy of the law unless it is pegged on some international law somewhere.

Annan has made it clear that enforcing what is agreed at Serena will rest with Parliament where I foresee Kibaki men deliberately dragging their feet or coming up with as much excuses as possible in form of amendments to delay the process.Americans call it filibustering.

The only possible incentive that may appeal to Lucy and Kibaki is the prospects of serving ten more years assuming Kenyans start on a new slate and majority Kenyans still want Kazi iendelee.

ODM's only hope is the global interest and pressure through possible UN resolution and America's sleight hand-all this assuming that there will be no some Tsunami-like distractions.

My other concern is the funding of the process which is likely to evolve into something much more complex. I say so because of this www.rte.ie/news/2008/0206/kenya.html which means that UN has bought the argument that its oversight role and Annan team presence should be to the successful implementation of what is just and justifiable.