Post by Onyango Oloo on Dec 12, 2006 14:27:55 GMT 3
A Digital Essay by Onyango Oloo
Folks:
Did you know that a phalanx of cops from the Central Police Station in downtown Nairobi descended on peaceful human rights activists to confiscate some of the banners they were brandishing at
Freedom Corner to mark International Human Rights Day on December 10th?
Last night (Monday, December 11, 2006), watching the Kenyan president on the pro-government NTV, I was pleasantly amazed to see Hon. Mwai Kibaki fling aside those cookie cutter boring speeches drafted for him.
Instead, off the cuff, he tore into his perceived adversaries using his by now familiar Kibakisms.
As reported in various sections of the print media this Jamhuri Day, Kibaki was implying that he is too busy "building the nation" to have time bothering with trivial pursuits like plotting with the Mois and Biwotts of this world to topple election year rivals like Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto from political party offices.
Never mind the high profile rapprochement with the former president; never mind the overt display of political affinity evidenced by the flashy presence of the Michukis at Biwott fund-raisers; never mind the alacrity of state paid bureaucrats in the Registrar’s office to validate KANU coup makers allied to Nicholas Biwott…
Before I convey some background information illuminating the emerging Moi/Mwai scheming, let me share with my readers an interesting perspective explaining the bizarre incident last week when
Judges-elect Muchelule, Florence Muchemi, Abida Ali Aroni and Co. were left unsworn with Martha Karua professing profound ignorance about the whole hula baloo.
Well, according to a rather reliable source, what happened was as follows:
It would appear that former CKRC Chair Abida Ali Aroni had been lobbying hard to be catapulted to the Court of Appeal. Her argument is that given her past hefty pay package at the tail end of the Bomas process, she deserved nothing less.
Colleagues from the legal profession were less generous in their overall assessment of her rather exaggerated sense of self worth. Martha Karua it seems also did not think that highly of her sister lawyer.
Ms. Abida Ali Aroni, on the other hand, was quite determined to don the colonial relic of a rag, rug, oops "wig" on her noggin and would stop at nothing to realize her ambition.
So what did the good lady do?
She did a little reconnaissance and found out the exact beauty salon matronized by the influential "NARC-K Activist" aka Mrs. Kibaki # 2.
Next step was to make said Abida Ali Aroni a permanent fixture in said Nairobi salon.
It was just a matter of time before she was exchanging cell phone digits with the well-connected State House insider, who, we hear, is also one of the principals behind VTEL, the Dubai-based consortium granted the SNO landline provider license not too long ago:
www.financialexpress.com/fe_full_story.php?content_id=146661
Having sold her pitch, Abida left it to Mary Wambui to work her charms at State House where it mattered-so the story goes.
Hey presto!
Word came back that Abida would get her dear wish.
An infuriated Martha Karua on discovering this decided to pay back Abida in her own coin by going to the other Mrs. Kibaki to try and unravel the whole judge appointment thing.
So it came to pass that Lucy Kibaki scuttled the State House swearing ceremony- before hopping on a chopper to Nyeri.
Could the above scenario help to explain Martha Karua’s coy and ingenuous sounding denial that the Justice and Constitutional Affairs minister was either in parliament or her Cooperative House office the whole day and therefore was blissfully unaware on any swearing in plans?
What will be the next episode in this gripping State House soap opera?
Will Ms. Abida Aroni and Mary Wambui overcome all odds and turn the tables on Martha Karua and Lucy Kibaki?
Stay tuned.
There is more, hopefully, stashed away for our collective mirth and entertainment.
All that, by the way, was just a diversionary aside to what I wanted to say, which is this:
You need about 2kgs of SALT to swallow what President Kibaki and his NARC-K handlers are trying to shove down our throats in terms of a state version bleeding innocent in the KANU internal wrangles.
Here is an excerpt from the December 11th-17th edition of the Weekly Citizen:
SOURCE:
“Kikuyu equation ahead of 2007 polls” p.2, Weekly Citizen, Vol. 10, No. 2, December 11th-17th 2006.
Of course there is MORE salacious stuff, but the above excerpts will suffice for now.
A few comments from Onyango Oloo:
1.I cannot vouch for the veracity or otherwise of the Weekly Citizen account. Readers will have to double-check the story before they make up their own minds.
2.If there is any credence to the article, then it confirms what some of us have known for a long time, viz., that Kibaki and his arrogant handlers are guided first and foremost by elitist and quite ethnic telescopes which will leave them floundering in the political ditches if they hang on to the rather myopic so called "analyses".
3.There could be a pronounced disconnect between the President and the Kenyan voters. Too many assumptions are being made that the wananchi will basically; ala lemmings follow whatever “their” tribal chieftains tell them. My one year here on the Kenyan ground persuades me otherwise. This time around Kenyans are even more politically conscious and cautious and will vote according to the real and/or perceived track records of those hunting for their votes.
4.The tribal statistics being hurled around have a major flaw because of the tribal assumption that Kenyan nationalities and ethnic groups will vote as a bloc. Is it really a given that the state and municipality battered and harassed hawkers of Nairobi, majority drawn from the Agikuyu community will vote for Mwai Kibaki simply because he is a fellow Mundu wa Nyoomba? Will all 2.9 million Gikuyus, 1.2. million Kalenjins etc show up at the polling stations in the first place and rush to look for their ethnic kin people?
5.Is ODM-K that really divided and gullible to State House machinations?
6.An ODM-Kenya insider intimated to me eleven months ago what is now common knowledge: that Najib Balala, William Ruto, Musalia Mudavadi and other candidates are merely mobilizing to deliver "their" constituencies to the Raila Odinga presidential effort. They are thus unlikely to be fighting each other. In the particular case of William Ruto, it has been my understanding that his target is firmly set on the NEXT election- the 2012 one, not 2007.
In any case, all these scenarios subtract the biggest factor:
Those millions upon millions of Kenyan wananchi who are the ones who will determine who will be the next Kenyan president, MP, councillor etc.
Incidentally, is it actually TRUE that
KENGEN MD Eddy Njoroge is First Lady Lucy Kibaki’s BROTHER???
Ni hayo tu.
Wacha Niambae…
Onyango Oloo
Nairobi, Kenya
Folks:
Did you know that a phalanx of cops from the Central Police Station in downtown Nairobi descended on peaceful human rights activists to confiscate some of the banners they were brandishing at
Freedom Corner to mark International Human Rights Day on December 10th?
Last night (Monday, December 11, 2006), watching the Kenyan president on the pro-government NTV, I was pleasantly amazed to see Hon. Mwai Kibaki fling aside those cookie cutter boring speeches drafted for him.
Instead, off the cuff, he tore into his perceived adversaries using his by now familiar Kibakisms.
As reported in various sections of the print media this Jamhuri Day, Kibaki was implying that he is too busy "building the nation" to have time bothering with trivial pursuits like plotting with the Mois and Biwotts of this world to topple election year rivals like Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto from political party offices.
Never mind the high profile rapprochement with the former president; never mind the overt display of political affinity evidenced by the flashy presence of the Michukis at Biwott fund-raisers; never mind the alacrity of state paid bureaucrats in the Registrar’s office to validate KANU coup makers allied to Nicholas Biwott…
Before I convey some background information illuminating the emerging Moi/Mwai scheming, let me share with my readers an interesting perspective explaining the bizarre incident last week when
Judges-elect Muchelule, Florence Muchemi, Abida Ali Aroni and Co. were left unsworn with Martha Karua professing profound ignorance about the whole hula baloo.
Well, according to a rather reliable source, what happened was as follows:
It would appear that former CKRC Chair Abida Ali Aroni had been lobbying hard to be catapulted to the Court of Appeal. Her argument is that given her past hefty pay package at the tail end of the Bomas process, she deserved nothing less.
Colleagues from the legal profession were less generous in their overall assessment of her rather exaggerated sense of self worth. Martha Karua it seems also did not think that highly of her sister lawyer.
Ms. Abida Ali Aroni, on the other hand, was quite determined to don the colonial relic of a rag, rug, oops "wig" on her noggin and would stop at nothing to realize her ambition.
So what did the good lady do?
She did a little reconnaissance and found out the exact beauty salon matronized by the influential "NARC-K Activist" aka Mrs. Kibaki # 2.
Next step was to make said Abida Ali Aroni a permanent fixture in said Nairobi salon.
It was just a matter of time before she was exchanging cell phone digits with the well-connected State House insider, who, we hear, is also one of the principals behind VTEL, the Dubai-based consortium granted the SNO landline provider license not too long ago:
www.financialexpress.com/fe_full_story.php?content_id=146661
Having sold her pitch, Abida left it to Mary Wambui to work her charms at State House where it mattered-so the story goes.
Hey presto!
Word came back that Abida would get her dear wish.
An infuriated Martha Karua on discovering this decided to pay back Abida in her own coin by going to the other Mrs. Kibaki to try and unravel the whole judge appointment thing.
So it came to pass that Lucy Kibaki scuttled the State House swearing ceremony- before hopping on a chopper to Nyeri.
Could the above scenario help to explain Martha Karua’s coy and ingenuous sounding denial that the Justice and Constitutional Affairs minister was either in parliament or her Cooperative House office the whole day and therefore was blissfully unaware on any swearing in plans?
What will be the next episode in this gripping State House soap opera?
Will Ms. Abida Aroni and Mary Wambui overcome all odds and turn the tables on Martha Karua and Lucy Kibaki?
Stay tuned.
There is more, hopefully, stashed away for our collective mirth and entertainment.
All that, by the way, was just a diversionary aside to what I wanted to say, which is this:
You need about 2kgs of SALT to swallow what President Kibaki and his NARC-K handlers are trying to shove down our throats in terms of a state version bleeding innocent in the KANU internal wrangles.
Here is an excerpt from the December 11th-17th edition of the Weekly Citizen:
…The waking nightmare within State House is the fear of what might happen if Raila Odinga, William Ruto and Musalia Mudavadi manage to strike a working political alliance. This, they aver, could deal a crushing blow for a Kibaki re-election next year with his chances being rated as remote to almost nil.
To add fireworks is the Uhuru Kenyatta factor in ODM-Kenya and the Kikuyu equation. According to our source, it is due to the Uhuru factor that Kibaki’s schemers have enlisted former president Moi and his protégé Nicholas Biwott to erode Uhuru’s political base in KANU and Kikuyu land.
For starters, in an effort to consolidate the Kikuyu vote behind Kibaki, Uhuru has to be vanquished politically so as to have the Nyeri-born Kibaki the only presidential candidate from the country’s most populous community. With the massive Kikuyu vote under lock and key, Kibaki strategists believe they have a head start of 2.9 million votes.
Currently Central Province has 1.9 million votes while it is calculated that the Kikuyu vote in Rift Valley and other areas of the country totals 1 million. The Kikuyu community also controls 40 per cent of Nairobi votes.
It is this fight for the all-important Kikuyu vote between Kibaki and Uhuru that a coup was initiated within KANU. During the State House meetings, our source told us, the issue of Uhuru’s presidential bid come 2007 has featured prominently.
Kibaki strategists have, according to our source, concurred that if Uhuru was to run next year, the Kikuyu vote will be divided hence the need to address the Kikuyu equation ahead of the polls.
To achieve this goal, Uhuru had to be removed as chairman of the opposition party KANU which has grassroots networks across the country. Moi, who has fallen out with the Kenyatta family was recruited to tame Uhuru.
It has emerged that, to win Moi to their side, State House operatives told the former president that they were willing to sort out his mysterious shares at Safaricom. It will interest Kenyans to know the controversial 5 per cent shares at Safaricom are owned by Moi, his son Gideon and Joshua Kulei.
A story is told of how, Vodafone, a British company, had to bribe Moi and business associates with 10 per cent shares to win the lucrative mobile business in Kenya. Kulei and Gideon during the Moi era are said to have told the Britons that the then President needed 10 per cent in the mobile business or else the tender award would be given to another firm.
The deal was sealed and the shares demanded awarded. Insiders say, when Kibaki came to power, five per cent was offloaded by the Moi associated firm to remain with another five per cent. When the deal came into the open, Moi is said to have panicked and had to run to Kibaki for help.
But the Kibaki side saw that as an opportunity to use to handle Uhuru. During Moi-Kibaki’s recent State House talks that were attended by Defence Minister Njenga Karume, it was agreed Moi should be allowed to offload the remaining five per cent shares but with one condition of helping to remove Uhuru as KANU chairman.
A shrewd Moi capitalized on the opportunity and immediately endorsed Biwott’s faction. Moi faxed a statement to newsrooms an evening before KANU’s planned National Delegates Conference (NDC) declaring publicly that he supported the Biwott group.
With the Biwott camp now running KANU, Moi, Gideon and Kulei had to fly to Britain to sort out the Vodafone shares. For the better part of last week, the trio was engaged in talks with Vodafone top officials in the UK. Our informer told us that apart from the shares, Moi had also been dispatched by Kibaki to convince Kulei to stop backing ODM- Kenya.
It is imperative to note, whenever the name of ODM-Kenya is mentioned, State House bleeds and the former president has fiercely opposed the KANU relationship with the movement.
According to our source, state house intelligence network has pin pointed Kulei as the principal financier of ODM-K activities. He is said to channel his funds through Eldoret North MP William Ruto. In fact is said the hefty donations Ruto and his Kalenjin allied MPs have been donating in harambees across Rift Valley all came from Kulei.
His association with the now influential KASS FM has also not gone down well with State House. At one time state machineries invaded the station owned by Kulei and disabled it. Intelligence reports say the FM station is playing a major role in influencing the 1.2 million Kalenjin vote in favour of Ruto and ODM-Kenya…Current reports indicate, Moi’s next mission on behalf of State House is to have Kulei cut links with ODM luminaries and if possible, have him lure Ruto out of the movement to puncture it.
The political machinations being used are these:
First, it is argued, Kulei and Ruto are in ODM due to the fact that they are facing criminal charges in court and want to be seen as anti-establishment. The possibility of the government dropping criminal cases against the duo has been discussed in the highest offices in the land.
At one given time, Ruto, Constitutional Affairs Minister Martha Karua and Karume were holed up at Jacaranda Hotel, Westlands, deliberating on the move. At State House, Ruto is Kibaki’s big headache in Kalenjin politics and something has to be done, kitchen cabinet advisers are pointing out. The government seems to have slowly softened its hard stand on Kulei and has even returned his passport and one time Moi aide frequently goes out to meet his family which has settled in Britain…what perhaps is causing ripples at State House is the fact that Kulei is rooting for Musalia Mudavadi as ODM-K presidential candidate.
To Kulei, a Mudavadi presidential candidature would easily see Kibaki leave State House next year becoming the first post-independence Kenya president to serve only one term.
Here is Kulei’s political game plan in ODM-K:
If Mudavadi is the movement presidential torchbearer, the Luhya vote will fully back him with Ruto as a running mate. Here the Kalenjin vote will be behind Mudavadi. Lastly, is to have Raila back Mudavadi and Luos who to them the Lang’ata MP is their political messiah will cast votes for Mudavadi.
It is an equation that is sending cold chills down the spine of State House mandarins who are quietly pointed out that it has to be controlled at whatever cost by first consolidating the Kikuyu vote then move out to get other regions. The Luhya vote which is above 1.2 million plus the Kalenjin vote 1.2 million add on the Luo vote of 1 million would greatly complicate matters for Kibaki. To Kibaki allies, Kalenjin votes must be hived off ODM.
Recent reports have it that Kibaki’s men have opened business doors to Kalenjin movers and shakers who had been locked out immediately after the 2002 polls. Unconfirmed reports have it the Kibaki family has acquired a stake in Kenol/Kobil which is also associated with Biwott. The oil firm recently won a lucrative Shs. 3 billion tender to supply oil products to KENGEN. The MD of KENGEN Eddy Njoroge is a powerful member of Kibaki’s kitchen cabinet (and allegedly a blood relative of Lucy Kibaki). KENGEN is already facing public wrath as it is being blamed for the high power costs levied by KPLC…Then we have the Kalonzo factor. State House power barons hope that the fate of Mwingi North MP in ODM-K will be sealed after he is short-changed as expected. To them, if Kalonzo is not ODM-K’s presidential candidate he will be easy to handle.
We have information that the current political tension between Raila and Kalonzo was the creation of State Intelligence and a section of the print media which seems to have paid dividends….
To add fireworks is the Uhuru Kenyatta factor in ODM-Kenya and the Kikuyu equation. According to our source, it is due to the Uhuru factor that Kibaki’s schemers have enlisted former president Moi and his protégé Nicholas Biwott to erode Uhuru’s political base in KANU and Kikuyu land.
For starters, in an effort to consolidate the Kikuyu vote behind Kibaki, Uhuru has to be vanquished politically so as to have the Nyeri-born Kibaki the only presidential candidate from the country’s most populous community. With the massive Kikuyu vote under lock and key, Kibaki strategists believe they have a head start of 2.9 million votes.
Currently Central Province has 1.9 million votes while it is calculated that the Kikuyu vote in Rift Valley and other areas of the country totals 1 million. The Kikuyu community also controls 40 per cent of Nairobi votes.
It is this fight for the all-important Kikuyu vote between Kibaki and Uhuru that a coup was initiated within KANU. During the State House meetings, our source told us, the issue of Uhuru’s presidential bid come 2007 has featured prominently.
Kibaki strategists have, according to our source, concurred that if Uhuru was to run next year, the Kikuyu vote will be divided hence the need to address the Kikuyu equation ahead of the polls.
To achieve this goal, Uhuru had to be removed as chairman of the opposition party KANU which has grassroots networks across the country. Moi, who has fallen out with the Kenyatta family was recruited to tame Uhuru.
It has emerged that, to win Moi to their side, State House operatives told the former president that they were willing to sort out his mysterious shares at Safaricom. It will interest Kenyans to know the controversial 5 per cent shares at Safaricom are owned by Moi, his son Gideon and Joshua Kulei.
A story is told of how, Vodafone, a British company, had to bribe Moi and business associates with 10 per cent shares to win the lucrative mobile business in Kenya. Kulei and Gideon during the Moi era are said to have told the Britons that the then President needed 10 per cent in the mobile business or else the tender award would be given to another firm.
The deal was sealed and the shares demanded awarded. Insiders say, when Kibaki came to power, five per cent was offloaded by the Moi associated firm to remain with another five per cent. When the deal came into the open, Moi is said to have panicked and had to run to Kibaki for help.
But the Kibaki side saw that as an opportunity to use to handle Uhuru. During Moi-Kibaki’s recent State House talks that were attended by Defence Minister Njenga Karume, it was agreed Moi should be allowed to offload the remaining five per cent shares but with one condition of helping to remove Uhuru as KANU chairman.
A shrewd Moi capitalized on the opportunity and immediately endorsed Biwott’s faction. Moi faxed a statement to newsrooms an evening before KANU’s planned National Delegates Conference (NDC) declaring publicly that he supported the Biwott group.
With the Biwott camp now running KANU, Moi, Gideon and Kulei had to fly to Britain to sort out the Vodafone shares. For the better part of last week, the trio was engaged in talks with Vodafone top officials in the UK. Our informer told us that apart from the shares, Moi had also been dispatched by Kibaki to convince Kulei to stop backing ODM- Kenya.
It is imperative to note, whenever the name of ODM-Kenya is mentioned, State House bleeds and the former president has fiercely opposed the KANU relationship with the movement.
According to our source, state house intelligence network has pin pointed Kulei as the principal financier of ODM-K activities. He is said to channel his funds through Eldoret North MP William Ruto. In fact is said the hefty donations Ruto and his Kalenjin allied MPs have been donating in harambees across Rift Valley all came from Kulei.
His association with the now influential KASS FM has also not gone down well with State House. At one time state machineries invaded the station owned by Kulei and disabled it. Intelligence reports say the FM station is playing a major role in influencing the 1.2 million Kalenjin vote in favour of Ruto and ODM-Kenya…Current reports indicate, Moi’s next mission on behalf of State House is to have Kulei cut links with ODM luminaries and if possible, have him lure Ruto out of the movement to puncture it.
The political machinations being used are these:
First, it is argued, Kulei and Ruto are in ODM due to the fact that they are facing criminal charges in court and want to be seen as anti-establishment. The possibility of the government dropping criminal cases against the duo has been discussed in the highest offices in the land.
At one given time, Ruto, Constitutional Affairs Minister Martha Karua and Karume were holed up at Jacaranda Hotel, Westlands, deliberating on the move. At State House, Ruto is Kibaki’s big headache in Kalenjin politics and something has to be done, kitchen cabinet advisers are pointing out. The government seems to have slowly softened its hard stand on Kulei and has even returned his passport and one time Moi aide frequently goes out to meet his family which has settled in Britain…what perhaps is causing ripples at State House is the fact that Kulei is rooting for Musalia Mudavadi as ODM-K presidential candidate.
To Kulei, a Mudavadi presidential candidature would easily see Kibaki leave State House next year becoming the first post-independence Kenya president to serve only one term.
Here is Kulei’s political game plan in ODM-K:
If Mudavadi is the movement presidential torchbearer, the Luhya vote will fully back him with Ruto as a running mate. Here the Kalenjin vote will be behind Mudavadi. Lastly, is to have Raila back Mudavadi and Luos who to them the Lang’ata MP is their political messiah will cast votes for Mudavadi.
It is an equation that is sending cold chills down the spine of State House mandarins who are quietly pointed out that it has to be controlled at whatever cost by first consolidating the Kikuyu vote then move out to get other regions. The Luhya vote which is above 1.2 million plus the Kalenjin vote 1.2 million add on the Luo vote of 1 million would greatly complicate matters for Kibaki. To Kibaki allies, Kalenjin votes must be hived off ODM.
Recent reports have it that Kibaki’s men have opened business doors to Kalenjin movers and shakers who had been locked out immediately after the 2002 polls. Unconfirmed reports have it the Kibaki family has acquired a stake in Kenol/Kobil which is also associated with Biwott. The oil firm recently won a lucrative Shs. 3 billion tender to supply oil products to KENGEN. The MD of KENGEN Eddy Njoroge is a powerful member of Kibaki’s kitchen cabinet (and allegedly a blood relative of Lucy Kibaki). KENGEN is already facing public wrath as it is being blamed for the high power costs levied by KPLC…Then we have the Kalonzo factor. State House power barons hope that the fate of Mwingi North MP in ODM-K will be sealed after he is short-changed as expected. To them, if Kalonzo is not ODM-K’s presidential candidate he will be easy to handle.
We have information that the current political tension between Raila and Kalonzo was the creation of State Intelligence and a section of the print media which seems to have paid dividends….
SOURCE:
“Kikuyu equation ahead of 2007 polls” p.2, Weekly Citizen, Vol. 10, No. 2, December 11th-17th 2006.
Of course there is MORE salacious stuff, but the above excerpts will suffice for now.
A few comments from Onyango Oloo:
1.I cannot vouch for the veracity or otherwise of the Weekly Citizen account. Readers will have to double-check the story before they make up their own minds.
2.If there is any credence to the article, then it confirms what some of us have known for a long time, viz., that Kibaki and his arrogant handlers are guided first and foremost by elitist and quite ethnic telescopes which will leave them floundering in the political ditches if they hang on to the rather myopic so called "analyses".
3.There could be a pronounced disconnect between the President and the Kenyan voters. Too many assumptions are being made that the wananchi will basically; ala lemmings follow whatever “their” tribal chieftains tell them. My one year here on the Kenyan ground persuades me otherwise. This time around Kenyans are even more politically conscious and cautious and will vote according to the real and/or perceived track records of those hunting for their votes.
4.The tribal statistics being hurled around have a major flaw because of the tribal assumption that Kenyan nationalities and ethnic groups will vote as a bloc. Is it really a given that the state and municipality battered and harassed hawkers of Nairobi, majority drawn from the Agikuyu community will vote for Mwai Kibaki simply because he is a fellow Mundu wa Nyoomba? Will all 2.9 million Gikuyus, 1.2. million Kalenjins etc show up at the polling stations in the first place and rush to look for their ethnic kin people?
5.Is ODM-K that really divided and gullible to State House machinations?
6.An ODM-Kenya insider intimated to me eleven months ago what is now common knowledge: that Najib Balala, William Ruto, Musalia Mudavadi and other candidates are merely mobilizing to deliver "their" constituencies to the Raila Odinga presidential effort. They are thus unlikely to be fighting each other. In the particular case of William Ruto, it has been my understanding that his target is firmly set on the NEXT election- the 2012 one, not 2007.
In any case, all these scenarios subtract the biggest factor:
Those millions upon millions of Kenyan wananchi who are the ones who will determine who will be the next Kenyan president, MP, councillor etc.
Incidentally, is it actually TRUE that
KENGEN MD Eddy Njoroge is First Lady Lucy Kibaki’s BROTHER???
Ni hayo tu.
Wacha Niambae…
Onyango Oloo
Nairobi, Kenya