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Post by miguna on May 12, 2007 23:14:43 GMT 3
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Post by miguna on May 13, 2007 2:01:56 GMT 3
Hold your horses, it’s too early to predict the polls
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University of Nairobi political science lecturer, Dr Chweya Ludeki, analysis of this year’s presidential elections was off the mark.
In an article published in The Standard on May 11 Ludeki predicts that the next occupant of State House will either be President Kibaki or ODM-Kenya presidential aspirant, Mr Kalonzo Musyoka.
And the ruling party will be Narc-Kenya or ODM-Kenya. The Steadman Group promulgated similar predictions.
The article was full of flaws, misconceptions and gross omissions.
Kenyan politics is dynamic. Each day we have a different perception of our politicians. It is therefore foolhardy to predict at this early stage that Narc-Kenya or ODM-Kenya would carry the day.
With rivalry and animosity taking root in the parties the likelihood of falling out is increasing by the day.
In such an eventuality, a new coalition would emerge.
By asserting that Musyoka or Kibaki are the front-runners Ludeki failed to grasp the current situation.
The Mwingi North MP has to win the ODM-Kenya presidential nomination but his chances are becoming elusive. Kalonzo’s popularity has nose-dived. He is no longer the blue-eyed boy of the party and is viewed with suspicion and cynicism by party members.
If he is to face Kibaki at the ballot, it is likely that he will use another party other than ODM-Kenya. Such a scenario would weaken him.
Kenyans are also wary of individuals who hide behind the cloak of salvation and Christianity only to show their true colours once they ascend to power.
Kalonzo may be polite and handsome. He may not respond to critics or insult others. But he is mean and arrogant. He does not possess the ideals enumerated by Ludeki. President Kibaki may be a polished gentleman but he does not honour gentlemanly agreements. He presents himself as a statesman but his Government suffers from acute tribalism. He signed a memorandum of understanding with LDP and Ford-Kenya but threw them out of the window as soon as he took over power.
To analyse politics without accurate reference to ethnicity and regional political blocks is a mistake.
The next ruling party will be a product of a coalition based on tribal alliance with its torch bearer being a person from a numerically strong tribe whose leader has not occupied the coveted seat and who is seen as capable of taking care of the tribal and regional interests of his partners in the coalition.
Ludeki needs to look at Kenya’s electoral history to know that even Narc was formed just a few weeks before the polls but drastically altered the electoral landscape.
The beautiful one has not yet been born. I will be vindicated in September.
Ken Wafula,
Eldoret.
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Post by politicalmaniac on May 15, 2007 20:38:58 GMT 3
That article was written by a lecturer in UoN?
Pathetic Use of English language.
He came across like a desperate paid hack who had to think of something in turn for his pay. Thats why the article was so discombobulated.
But I think he should be allowed to predict based on his "analysis"
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Post by job on May 15, 2007 20:50:29 GMT 3
P/maniac & Miguna,
Chweya Ludeki sits in the advisory board of Kalonzo Musyoka Foundation and is supposedly a political consultant for Musyoka. He must be seen to be working (by his boss). These are some of the "technocrats in waiting" under a supposed "Musyoka government". He is thus trying to spin the tide towards the side of his boss, a tide long lost.
Job
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Post by politicalmaniac on May 16, 2007 0:25:25 GMT 3
No wonder the article is so poorly written. He just had to write something. He did convey the sense he had digested Electoral history, or even believed the sh!t he penned, and he sounded like a broken record while comedically leaving any commentary on the 800pound gorrila from the conversation.
What hogwash.
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Post by kamalet on May 16, 2007 8:28:13 GMT 3
P/maniac & Miguna, Chweya Ludeki sits in the advisory board of Kalonzo Musyoka Foundation and is supposedly a political consultant for Musyoka. He must be seen to be working (by his boss). These are some of the "technocrats in waiting" under a supposed "Musyoka government". He is thus trying to spin the tide towards the side of his boss, a tide long lost. Job Interesting take on Chweya!! Are we then to assume that the near blind support and defence of Raila in the Jukwaa forum is intended to spin the tide towards the man......and the tide is yet to be lost? |
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Post by politicalmaniac on May 16, 2007 17:15:06 GMT 3
Assume nothing!!
Rs support by some here is logic based.
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Post by kamalet on May 16, 2007 17:52:14 GMT 3
Pmaniac,
If you asked me, in Jukwaa, Raila and logic in the same sentence is a misplaced sentence!
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Post by politicalmaniac on May 16, 2007 19:36:26 GMT 3
To some logic is fuzzy
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Post by veritas on May 31, 2007 14:15:25 GMT 3
Was it an opinion or analysis? As a citizen he is allowed to opinon, if he used his opinion to mislead analysis information he does for his profession, that's considered a corrupt individual, a weak individual, a desperate individual. Is the daktari his political consultant or advisor? If he is a key advisor he should be fired, I mean when did political advisors feel the need to air their opinion in public media, give things away like that, leave that for the campaigners, the cheerleaders. The daktari may have academic prowess but frankly he seems to suck in political prowess. Frankly the UoN Board should fire him as he is abusing his position and clearly his interest seems to be elsewhere.
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