Post by jakaswanga on Dec 8, 2012 11:13:27 GMT 3
DALMAS OTIENO: LOOKING FOR LIGHT AT THE END OF THE TUNNEL
In my opinion one of the most fascinating characters in Kenyan political thinking, Heavy D. Otieno has been at it again. But why has be broken cover?
In the frenzied ululations of the CORD phenomenon, as witnessed on Jukwaa by several of our stalwart correspondents, majorly Foresight and Omwenga ora, I think there is a palpable refusal to analyse the phoenix that Uhuru had become, so they fail to give the devil his dues.
Ditched by Kibaki and the older power moghuls of the house of Mumbi, Uhuru nevertheless stuck to his guns and, with an assortiment of rabid techniques, cannibalised PNU, marginalised PNU's allies [read DP], and managed to create the perception that he had bagged the 4m plus votes in MK. Not to mention that the polls continuously ranked him second [to Raila]. The son of Jomo, hitherto always someone elses project, emerged as his own man. That is something.
At the same time, enjoying the support of his own feet, newly discovered, he carried on a national bluff-poker of being on the ballot whatever Ocampo or his able Bensouda replacement did. Practically holding the nation hostage, and, worse, reading from the subsequent appointments to cabinet and other top government jobs, effectively assuming command of the state from Kibaki, or the rasputin Wanjohi who has usurped decisions as he keeps the PORK in coma.
Even the judiciary has stood to attention in all cases involving Kenyatta. Waiting. Fidgeting. The CJ nerve-racked and biting his nails.
I think, that the possibility of an ICC-Uhuru presidency for real, with its international implications, and another MK tenure at the helm, has been the real shaker and mover of other moves. And when Ruto became Uhuru's public running mate, the definitive event had happened, the Big-Bang, to which other players would must react, with final best sets.
Seing the courts, local or not, could not be relied on to do the job, how then to beat UK at the ballot, realistically speaking? Raila was no longer the man to beat. It had become Uhuru Kenyatta.
Preventing an Uhuru presidency had become the core of siasa moto-moto as Jukwaa's Nereah would call it: Saving the nation from Uhuru's ICC rule!
Dalmas Otieno Pache Ohingo Pachji, can't be anybody else, the evil genius of KANU mathematics, first drove it home. He told Raila: Kalonzo can not be allowed to team up with Uhuruto. Then he punched Nairobi numbers, with reference to the last election, corrected abit with some new math. Nobody in ODM could come up with a rebuttal that Uhuruto + Kalonzo [and the remaining pastoral hangers on] would not sweep Nairobi at at-least a 60:40 ratio. [Governor and senators all TNA, then a few consolation enclave constituencies for ODM, and which could only be won by population re-arrangements uphead, EG all Luos taking cards in just about two constituencies only!] [think ethno-mandering as opposed to the original gerrymandering in the USA]
Reading between the lines when the Nairobi-star reports: 'there had been no interests in 15 out of a hundred civic seats in the city-county, from ODM activists.' That is these seats were percieved as TNA slots long ago and surrendered so. The Nairobi ODM think-turks were witless. The technocratic strategists Aladwa, Kidero, Kisia et al were not forthcoming with ideas; on the contrary, they set about alienating Bishop Wanjiru and her sheep some more.
But not the HD Nestor Dalmas Otieno, --Few men in Kenya know what this man is made of upstairs. A grimacing Otieno decided to show these city glitter boys the difference between them amateurs and the men, in real Kenyan politic. --[Moi still has a soft spot for him, Dalmas, him who told Moi [who persistently is reported to have once pulsed him for the VP slot] that he was not interested in power, but just had his kicks being around it. So he lacked the ambition to be VP, and later vie for the presidency.]
When Otieno Heavy D. is in your corner when the political waters enter the rapids and he decides to do his thinking, the raft will read the perils well. That was his reputation as a KANU hawk. And it warned us as young men, that Arap Moi was a dangerous opponent. He could pick the best to be beside him. Otieno Saitoti Kibaki, brainy. Nicolas Biwott and Sankuli, pure cold-blood capos.
Nevertheless I was surprised to see him break cover and shine at the signing ceremony of CORD. When the work is done, this grand-chessmaster of yester likes to take a backseat and enjoy the results at a distance. And a cautious man, one rarely finds him with a self-indulgent smile on his public face. That is, never a triumphalism before the boat is anchored at shore safe. Nimar yie janimo ka ochiegni gowo.
PS: Good news: the moment the CORD deal was signed and Kalonzo roped in, within a day ODM membership surged in some 'hitherto' surrendered areas, and going to press as of now, they will not be any reserved Jubilee seats in the capital area!
The trick now for ODM is to make sure Kalonzo does not perform his special act, see Ngilu.
In my opinion one of the most fascinating characters in Kenyan political thinking, Heavy D. Otieno has been at it again. But why has be broken cover?
In the frenzied ululations of the CORD phenomenon, as witnessed on Jukwaa by several of our stalwart correspondents, majorly Foresight and Omwenga ora, I think there is a palpable refusal to analyse the phoenix that Uhuru had become, so they fail to give the devil his dues.
Ditched by Kibaki and the older power moghuls of the house of Mumbi, Uhuru nevertheless stuck to his guns and, with an assortiment of rabid techniques, cannibalised PNU, marginalised PNU's allies [read DP], and managed to create the perception that he had bagged the 4m plus votes in MK. Not to mention that the polls continuously ranked him second [to Raila]. The son of Jomo, hitherto always someone elses project, emerged as his own man. That is something.
At the same time, enjoying the support of his own feet, newly discovered, he carried on a national bluff-poker of being on the ballot whatever Ocampo or his able Bensouda replacement did. Practically holding the nation hostage, and, worse, reading from the subsequent appointments to cabinet and other top government jobs, effectively assuming command of the state from Kibaki, or the rasputin Wanjohi who has usurped decisions as he keeps the PORK in coma.
Even the judiciary has stood to attention in all cases involving Kenyatta. Waiting. Fidgeting. The CJ nerve-racked and biting his nails.
I think, that the possibility of an ICC-Uhuru presidency for real, with its international implications, and another MK tenure at the helm, has been the real shaker and mover of other moves. And when Ruto became Uhuru's public running mate, the definitive event had happened, the Big-Bang, to which other players would must react, with final best sets.
Seing the courts, local or not, could not be relied on to do the job, how then to beat UK at the ballot, realistically speaking? Raila was no longer the man to beat. It had become Uhuru Kenyatta.
Preventing an Uhuru presidency had become the core of siasa moto-moto as Jukwaa's Nereah would call it: Saving the nation from Uhuru's ICC rule!
Dalmas Otieno Pache Ohingo Pachji, can't be anybody else, the evil genius of KANU mathematics, first drove it home. He told Raila: Kalonzo can not be allowed to team up with Uhuruto. Then he punched Nairobi numbers, with reference to the last election, corrected abit with some new math. Nobody in ODM could come up with a rebuttal that Uhuruto + Kalonzo [and the remaining pastoral hangers on] would not sweep Nairobi at at-least a 60:40 ratio. [Governor and senators all TNA, then a few consolation enclave constituencies for ODM, and which could only be won by population re-arrangements uphead, EG all Luos taking cards in just about two constituencies only!] [think ethno-mandering as opposed to the original gerrymandering in the USA]
Reading between the lines when the Nairobi-star reports: 'there had been no interests in 15 out of a hundred civic seats in the city-county, from ODM activists.' That is these seats were percieved as TNA slots long ago and surrendered so. The Nairobi ODM think-turks were witless. The technocratic strategists Aladwa, Kidero, Kisia et al were not forthcoming with ideas; on the contrary, they set about alienating Bishop Wanjiru and her sheep some more.
But not the HD Nestor Dalmas Otieno, --Few men in Kenya know what this man is made of upstairs. A grimacing Otieno decided to show these city glitter boys the difference between them amateurs and the men, in real Kenyan politic. --[Moi still has a soft spot for him, Dalmas, him who told Moi [who persistently is reported to have once pulsed him for the VP slot] that he was not interested in power, but just had his kicks being around it. So he lacked the ambition to be VP, and later vie for the presidency.]
When Otieno Heavy D. is in your corner when the political waters enter the rapids and he decides to do his thinking, the raft will read the perils well. That was his reputation as a KANU hawk. And it warned us as young men, that Arap Moi was a dangerous opponent. He could pick the best to be beside him. Otieno Saitoti Kibaki, brainy. Nicolas Biwott and Sankuli, pure cold-blood capos.
Nevertheless I was surprised to see him break cover and shine at the signing ceremony of CORD. When the work is done, this grand-chessmaster of yester likes to take a backseat and enjoy the results at a distance. And a cautious man, one rarely finds him with a self-indulgent smile on his public face. That is, never a triumphalism before the boat is anchored at shore safe. Nimar yie janimo ka ochiegni gowo.
PS: Good news: the moment the CORD deal was signed and Kalonzo roped in, within a day ODM membership surged in some 'hitherto' surrendered areas, and going to press as of now, they will not be any reserved Jubilee seats in the capital area!
The trick now for ODM is to make sure Kalonzo does not perform his special act, see Ngilu.