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Post by mzee on Mar 13, 2011 0:10:40 GMT 3
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Post by politicalmaniac on Mar 13, 2011 0:16:13 GMT 3
My MP is worried that this jostling for ODM may end up with 'sherongo' and his party picking this seat.
I hope the nominations are held in peace and whoever gets the nod is supported 100%
ODM cant afford to loose this one
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Post by Titchaz on Mar 17, 2011 3:03:25 GMT 3
NARC Kenya will not field a candidate in the Ikolomani by elections but instead support the re-election of immediate former MP Bonny Khalwale.Flower party officials drawn mainly from branches in Kakamega County are currently holding strategy meetings to plot Khalwale’s comeback. Speaking during party elections for Kakamega county at a local hotel, the party co-ordinator for Western province Sande Oyalo assured the former MP of the party’s unwavering support at the by-election. “Our party is going to support Khalwale because of his high quality of debate in Parliament which we believe as a party should continue, and can only continue with him there,” said Oyalo. He said all Narc-K officials will mount vigorous campaigns to ensure Khalwale is re-elected. www.nairobistar.com/local/western--nyanza/17465-ikolomani-mp-gets-party-support-for-by-election
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Post by nowayhaha on Mar 17, 2011 9:31:28 GMT 3
This election will be the litmus test for the 2012 elections in Western province and its counties .Be rest assured it will be a 2 horse race btwn ODM-Raila(National Party) and Ford-Kenya(Regional party) .
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Post by gemagema on Mar 18, 2011 21:08:31 GMT 3
Let us not forget that this young politician, who is unwilling to work with Raila and ODM, is an important factor in the Western Politics. Hence, which camp can Khalwale benefit and amass more votes from? Eugene's or ODM's. Remember that Ford Kenya is now in the hands of Wetangula. Anyways, tomorrow is a rally in Bungoma, and the KK are gonna be there Uhuru, Ruto, to attend Eugene Wamalwa Bungoma rallyBy Wanyonyi wa Wasike  Ford-K Chairman Musikari Kombo, Eldoret North MP William Ruto and presidential aspirant Eugene Wamalwa during a past rally. DEPUTY Prime-Minister and Finance Minister Uhuru Kenyatta, suspended Higher Education Minister William Ruto and presidential aspirant Eugene Wamalwa are expected to lead over 60 other Mps to a rally in Bungoma this Saturday where a new political alliance is set to be announced. Plans for the rally to be held at the historic Posta Grounds in the town were going on as news emerged that, contrary to rumors that Wamalwa is set to join either Professor Julia Ojiambo’s Labour Party of Kenya (LPK) or Soita Shitanda’s New Ford-Kenya, the Saboti Mp may unveil a brand new political party which has already been registered. Apart from Uhuru, Ruto and Wamalwa, other notable names expected for the rally include Housing Minister Soita Shitanda, Kiema Kilonzo, Kambi Kazungu, Joshua Kutuny, Mithika Linturi as well as former minister Dr Mukhisa Kituyi among others. It is also widely expected that the leaders will come up with a new political alliance that may comprise Wamalwa’s new party now that his defection from Ford-Kenya is imminent. But even as the rally organizers went ahead with their plans, Bungoma town was a beehive of activity as delegates going to attend the Ford-Kenya National Delegates Council (NDC) continued leaving for Nairobi. The delegates left in several convoys to the much-awaited function in which suspended Foreign Affairs Minister and Sirisia Mp Moses Wetang’ula is set to be elected as the Ford-Kenya party leader. Luhya elders led by council chairman Patrick Wangamati have pleaded with Wamalwa not to abandon Ford-Kenya for another party fearing that the move may further fragment the community’s unity and votes ahead of the 2012 elections. Speaking in Bungoma town, Wangamati announced that council supports Wamalwa’s presidential bid but hastened to add that it would have been wise if the Mp sought the highest office in the land on a Ford-Kenya ticket. “As elders, we have tried to play our part to ensure that we maintain our unity inside Ford-Kenya. We are appealing to our son Wamalwa and his followers not to go away because that will weaken our bargaining power even further,” appealed Wangamati. But reached on phone, Wamalwa maintained that he will not be attending the Ford-Kenya NDC but will instead be heading to the Bungoma rally to offer new direction to his supporters. “I think we have reached a point of no return as far as our political future is concerned. My supporters should expect a major political announcement during the Bungoma rally,” he promised. The Mp announced that he will soon write officially to the Ford-Kenya Secretary-General John Munyes resigning from his party position of Legal Affairs Secretary which he holds in adherence to the constitution. www.westfm.co.ke/index-page-news-bid-1856.htm |
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Post by Titchaz on Mar 30, 2011 5:08:59 GMT 3
ODM Wont Back Khalwale's Re-election ODM leaders in Western province have denied reports that the party will support former Ikolomani MP Bonny Khalwale in the May by-election. Shinyalu MP Justus Kizito yesterday said the party had settled for Bernard Shinali and all ODM MPs from the region will camp in Ikolomani to ensure he wins the seat. “We have not run out of candidates to support Khalwale. The party will support its own candidate in line with the political parties Act and Khalwale should stop day dreaming,” said Kizito who has been tasked by the ODM to head the Ikolomani campaigns. ODM youth leader Ben Ombima said the party is prepared to face any combined force that is promising support for Khalwale in the by-election. Ombima, who chairs the Western Youth Alliance, said claims by Khalwale that ODM MPs were supporting him for the by-election were cheap propaganda meant to confuse voters. Khalwale refuted claims that he had decamped to New Ford-K, saying he will remain in New Ford-k to defend his seat. He said ODM MPs from the region are supporting his re-election because they shared similar ideologies in Parliament. The former MP said all MPs from the province will soon issue a statement in his support. But yesterday, Kizito said ODM has finalised plans for the by-election and promised party opponents a run for their money.“By saying that ODM will support him, Khalwale is saying that the party is pulling out of the race. How can ODM withdraw from a race in an area where it is the dominant party?” posed Kizito. Khalwale lost his set after the high court in Kakamega nullified his election in 2007 citing irregularities in vote tally. So far, only Khalwale and Shinali have confirmed that they will run in the by-election to be held on May 23. www.nairobistar.com/local/western--nyanza/18971-odm-wont-back-khalwales-re-election-mp-says |
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Post by roughrider on Mar 30, 2011 12:42:13 GMT 3
Even if Khalwale were to shift, he would need to be an ODM member for 3 months in order to vie through the party. That is my understanding of the law.
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Post by commes on Mar 30, 2011 12:46:34 GMT 3
Even if Khalwale were to shift, he would need to be an ODM member for 3 months in order to vie through the party. That is my understanding of the law. That is a very important detail. Would ODM be violating the political parties act should they decide to campaign openyly for Bonny? |
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Post by roughrider on Mar 30, 2011 13:11:11 GMT 3
Even if Khalwale were to shift, he would need to be an ODM member for 3 months in order to vie through the party. That is my understanding of the law. That is a very important detail. Would ODM be violating the political parties act should they decide to campaign openyly for Bonny? Not really. It depends on how it is done. And would especially be ok if there was a formal pre-election inter-party agreement. However, it would be political bad manners to do so. My resources suggest that Khalwale is not necessarily a popular candidate on the ground, and in fact, lost the first time round. |
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Post by Titchaz on Mar 30, 2011 13:22:04 GMT 3
Even if Khalwale were to shift, he would need to be an ODM member for 3 months in order to vie through the party. That is my understanding of the law. That is a very important detail. Would ODM be violating the political parties act should they decide to campaign openyly for Bonny? I dont think ODM will be violating the law if they campaign for this guy... it will be a violation if he ran on an ODM ticket...that is my understanding of the law... By the way are we using the new Katiba or the old one maana nasikia hii katiba mpya bado haijafanyiwa ukarabati husika? Yesterday according to your post about Bunge, nadhani quorum haikupatikana and amongst the reasons Marende called these guys back was to finish up on the issues of the new katiba. Kweli hawa wabinge bure kabisa. |
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Post by commes on Mar 30, 2011 13:36:21 GMT 3
RRThat is a very important detail. Would ODM be violating the political parties act should they decide to campaign openyly for Bonny? I dont think ODM will be violating the law if they campaign for this guy... it will be a violation if he ran on an ODM ticket...that is my understanding of the law... By the way are we using the new Katiba or the old one maana nasikia hii katiba mpya bado haijafanyiwa ukarabati husika? Yesterday according to your post about Bunge, nadhani quorum haikupatikana and amongst the reasons Marende called these guys back was to finish up on the issues of the new katiba. Kweli hawa wabinge bure kabisa. Asante sana Ndungu Titchaz Ujumbe nime pokea. Sasa nimetulia. Lugha na linfahamu lakini kuna vile  . |
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Post by politicalmaniac on May 3, 2011 20:03:18 GMT 3
whats going on here, in this race? |
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Post by phil on May 3, 2011 20:31:04 GMT 3
@pm
My view is that this is Mudavadi's baby. He has every reason to take this as a personal project and deliver this seat to ODM. He did it before in the Shinyalu by-elections, and at that time you remember Jirongo and KADDU were threatening to take that seat but this time, in Ikolomani, it appears New FORD-K is the party to beat.
Just last week, I read somewhere Mudavadi was upset at being always paired with the Prime Minister in presidential opinion poll. While that partnership is rated a winning partnership, Mudavadi wants to be cast as his own man and be moved away from the PM's shadow. How will that happen if he cannot effectively campaign for a seat in his own backyard?
This over reliance on the PM is why Mudavadi is always deemed as colourless. If New FORD-K win this seat, you can imagine what people like Eugene Wamalwa will say in those G-7 political rallies. A loss for ODM will be a huge body-blow to the fortunes of Mudavadi as a person in Western Kenya politics.
Kazi ni kwake.
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Post by politicalmaniac on May 3, 2011 20:45:17 GMT 3
phil
I suspect you already know I am not a big mudamba jnr fan, but here is a golden chance for him to put his stamp on Western!!
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Post by mwalimumkuu on May 4, 2011 18:16:35 GMT 3
Word on the ground indicates that ODM is in a quagmire of some sorts here; majority of Luhya MPs, many of whom are in ODM are said to favor Bonny Khalwale. It is said that the MPs did not understand how the party allowed Kizito (the neophyte from the neighboring Shinyalu) to arm-twist Mudavadi into fielding a candidate against Bonny.
Based on Bonny’s popularity with the common man, it is feared that he will easily sail through. The problem that ODM brigade now faces is that, Bonny’s success whereas in tandem with the wishes of a huge membership of the party in that region, will expose Mudavadi badly. Indeed, rumor broke out last week that, close allies of Mudavadi are beginning to read a high stakes political game sponsored by Luo MPs and Namwamba that Mudavadi unknowingly walked into. As such, the MPs are confused, they would not want to abandon Khalwale, but at the same time, they do not want to lose the seat to New Ford-K, a party that is associated with Eugene and by extension PNU/Uhuruto and give leverage to the Namwamba axis.
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Post by Titchaz on May 15, 2011 16:50:14 GMT 3
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Post by phil on May 15, 2011 22:35:19 GMT 3
Word on the ground indicates that ODM is in a quagmire of some sorts here; majority of Luhya MPs, many of whom are in ODM are said to favor Bonny Khalwale. It is said that the MPs did not understand how the party allowed Kizito (the neophyte from the neighboring Shinyalu) to arm-twist Mudavadi into fielding a candidate against Bonny. Based on Bonny�s popularity with the common man, it is feared that he will easily sail through. The problem that ODM brigade now faces is that, Bonny�s success whereas in tandem with the wishes of a huge membership of the party in that region, will expose Mudavadi badly. Indeed, rumor broke out last week that, close allies of Mudavadi are beginning to read a high stakes political game sponsored by Luo MPs and Namwamba that Mudavadi unknowingly walked into. As such, the MPs are confused, they would not want to abandon Khalwale, but at the same time, they do not want to lose the seat to New Ford-K, a party that is associated with Eugene and by extension PNU/Uhuruto and give leverage to the Namwamba axis. Mwalimumtukutu This is a lie and you know it! So what happened to akina Uhuru and Ruto and the rest of KKK going to the ground to campaign for Khalwale? And besides that, why should NARC-K's Karua be the one campaigning for Khalwale whose party leader in the next constituency, Hon Soita Shitanda would rather go and be hijacked inside a dingy hotel room with whomsoever, Park Villa Hotel in far away Bungoma County, while Khalwale is suffering with the electorate at Khayega market? While that is going on, what happened to New FORD-K's Eugene Wamalwa, he who wants the same party ticket for the presidency as that which Khalwale is standing on in this by-election? And still on Eugene, did he not vote against Ababu Namwamba in the parliamentary committee without any valid reason but for simple reason that Ababu is being crucified for voicing an opinion shared by the AG, CJ, PM, the COIC, the Civil Society and most importantly majority of Kenyans? Eugene is a huge let down to his age mates and those under him. He is going to be a major contributing factor to the loss of Khalwale in Ikolomani. Too many questions, very few answers. Let's compare notes after the IIEC releases the results. |
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Post by mwalimumkuu on May 16, 2011 0:21:24 GMT 3
Word on the ground indicates that ODM is in a quagmire of some sorts here; majority of Luhya MPs, many of whom are in ODM are said to favor Bonny Khalwale. It is said that the MPs did not understand how the party allowed Kizito (the neophyte from the neighboring Shinyalu) to arm-twist Mudavadi into fielding a candidate against Bonny. Based on Bonny�s popularity with the common man, it is feared that he will easily sail through. The problem that ODM brigade now faces is that, Bonny�s success whereas in tandem with the wishes of a huge membership of the party in that region, will expose Mudavadi badly. Indeed, rumor broke out last week that, close allies of Mudavadi are beginning to read a high stakes political game sponsored by Luo MPs and Namwamba that Mudavadi unknowingly walked into. As such, the MPs are confused, they would not want to abandon Khalwale, but at the same time, they do not want to lose the seat to New Ford-K, a party that is associated with Eugene and by extension PNU/Uhuruto and give leverage to the Namwamba axis. Mwalimumtukutu This is a lie and you know it! So what happened to akina Uhuru and Ruto and the rest of KKK going to the ground to campaign for Khalwale? And besides that, why should NARC-K's Karua be the one campaigning for Khalwale whose party leader in the next constituency, Hon Soita Shitanda would rather go and be hijacked inside a dingy hotel room with whomsoever, Park Villa Hotel in far away Bungoma County, while Khalwale is suffering with the electorate at Khayega market? While that is going on, what happened to New FORD-K's Eugene Wamalwa, he who wants the same party ticket for the presidency as that which Khalwale is standing on in this by-election? And still on Eugene, did he not vote against Ababu Namwamba in the parliamentary committee without any valid reason but for simple reason that Ababu is being crucified for voicing an opinion shared by the AG, CJ, PM, the COIC, the Civil Society and most importantly majority of Kenyans? Eugene is a huge let down to his age mates and those under him. He is going to be a major contributing factor to the loss of Khalwale in Ikolomani. Too many questions, very few answers. Let's compare notes after the IIEC releases the results. Phil, Nope, western politics is getting complicated by each passing day. Ikolomani is even trickier given Bonny's persona. It is not going to be easy even though anything is possible with by-elections. Meanwhile soma hapa: Watch Ikolomani by-election for these cluesBy Dominic Odipo During two election campaign speeches in 1774, Edmund Burke, the Irish orator and legislator, defined with virtuoso clarity what a member of a national assembly ought to be: "Parliament is a deliberative assembly of one interest, that of the whole; where, not local purposes, not local prejudices, ought to guide, but the general good, resulting from the general reason of the whole. You choose a member indeed; but when you have chosen him, he is not a member of Bristol, but he is a Member of Parliament." But how should the views and opinions of this member count alongside those of his constituents? "His unbiased opinion, his mature judgement, his enlightened conscience, he ought not to sacrifice to you, to any man, or to any set of men living. These are a trust from Providence, for the abuse of which he is deeply answerable. Your representative owes you, not his industry only, but his judgement; and he betrays, instead of serving you, if he sacrifices it to your opinion." If there has been a true Burkean representative in Kenya’s Tenth Parliament, that man has been Dr Bonny Khalwale, the former member for Ikolomani who comes up for re-election in a by-election next week. Khalwale has been a true member of the National Assembly. He spoke for the whole country in the original Burkean idiom and, in the process, stepped on many toes and bloated egos, both inside and outside Parliament. Many of those wounded by Khalwale’s Burkean parliamentary antics or his relatively poor human skills would have been expected to take this opportunity to strike Khalwale out of national politics for good. Yet, surprisingly, virtually none of them is doing anything of the sort. Instead, they are either flocking to Kakamega to help Khalwale defend his seat against the ODM candidate or staying away from the contest altogether. More than ten MPs from the former Western Province, including some from ODM, reportedly do not want to see Khalwale defeated by the ODM candidate. And, as it now appears, this is not because of their love or respect for Khalwale’s past parliamentary performances.NEW NARRATIVE So what is going on? If Prime Minister Raila Odinga does not have his ears on the ground in Kakamega as the Ikolomani by-election campaigns grind to a close, he had better. He had better keep his ears open because there is a new narrative developing in Ikolomani and the larger Luhyaland which could not only ensure that Khalwale beats his ODM opponent but also that Raila loses the majority of his Luhya supporters in the run-up to the 2012 presidential elections. This new narrative is being developed around three simple questions. What exactly has the Prime Minister done for the people of Western Province since he took office in April 2008? How many senior ministers, permanent secretaries or ambassadors have been appointed from the region since he took office?Like its subject, the second issue or question stands starkly alone. Why is there still no smoke billowing out of the chimneys of Webuye Paper Mills more than three years after the Coalition Government came into power?If the Prime Minister really had the economic interests of the Luhya at heart, could he have left this factory lying idle for so long? The third issue goes to the heart of this matter and could make or break Raila’s 2012 presidential bid. In very few words, the question is this: Why should the Luhya not field their own presidential candidate next year, especially if he stands a bigger chance of garnering the Kalenjin vote than Raila himself?With regard to the first issue, there appears to be a nagging feeling within the Luhya community that only Musalia Mudavadi has been given a full ministerial docket under the ODM banner. The rest of the full ministries, like Foreign Affairs and Wildlife, apparently came through the PNU route. And among the permanent secretaries, apparently only Andrew Mondoh came in through ODM. The issue of the Webuye Paper Mills speaks for itself. Thousands of people from the region were thrown out of work when the factory was shut. More than three years after the people of Webuye voted in droves for Raila for president and for Alfred Sambu as their ODM MP, the factory is still shuttered. Why?EUGENE VS RAILA? The third issue, and probably the trickiest for the Prime Minister, rotates around the possible presidential candidacy of Eugene Wamalwa, the MP for Saboti. Apparently, the word doing the rounds the region is that Eugene could become a very serious candidate if he could garner both Luhya and Kalenjin votes at the first ballot. The Luhya appear to be already smelling power through Eugene and they now don’t see what business they should have voting Raila for president.The point of all this is that, for good or ill, Khalwale happens to be at the centre of this new narrative. He will win or lose the coming by-election upon it. That is why the results of the Ikolomani by-election could make or break Raila’s 2012 presidential bid. The writer is a lecturer and consultant in Nairobi. www.standardmedia.co.ke/columnists/InsidePage.php?id=2000035233&cid=651& |
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Post by phil on May 16, 2011 10:36:26 GMT 3
Mwalimu
So now an article in a third rate newspaper like the standard by Dominic Odipo leads you to make your weird conclusions on the Ikolomani by-elections. I have nothing else to tell you if this is the case if you rely on information from someone who gets his daily bread spinning stories here and there.
By the way, why arent akina Uhuru, Ruto, Kalonzo and Wamalwa campaigning for Bonny? Iko kitu, siyo?
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Post by politicalmaniac on May 16, 2011 18:25:56 GMT 3
Bonny may win, he has the name recognition and momentum.
But lets not count out the ODM candidate.
In the end of the day by elections as I have said before are a weird animal. Each by election is different. The timing of each election withing the political cycle determines the narrative which that win garners. But the result of a by election especially one with a poor turnout, should be interpreted with caution.
It does wonders for a party to win a bye election. Its a shot in the arm.
But loosing it does not engender a doomsday scenario for the loosing party.
Let wait for the GE
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Post by mwalimumkuu on May 16, 2011 19:44:59 GMT 3
Mwalimu So now an article in a third rate newspaper like the standard by Dominic Odipo leads you to make your weird conclusions on the Ikolomani by-elections. I have nothing else to tell you if this is the case if you rely on information from someone who gets his daily bread spinning stories here and there. By the way, why arent akina Uhuru, Ruto, Kalonzo and Wamalwa campaigning for Bonny? Iko kitu, siyo? Bw. Phil, If you bothered to look at the date of publication of the article viz. my view, you will realize that the article only served to corroborate my views and not informing my conclusions. My views here are only informed by feelers from the ground. As regards Uhuru, Kalonzo and co not campaigning for Bonny, I am told it is as per his own request. He wants the by-election to remain between him and the ODM candidate and not between ODM and PNU, which to me sounds ok given that ODM is the party to beat in Western at the moment. |
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