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Post by podp on Jul 7, 2019 17:52:31 GMT 3
my head is still OO’s sister, Ruth, told me “people were mean to him in life and even in death” made me remember current Meru Governor one Kiraitu Murungi, who was his lawyer when he was awarded damages by the State but never remitted any payment to OO when the latter made attempts to contact KM when he was a Cabinet Minister during Obako’s tenure Alamin Kimathi came but was evasive Mwandawiro Mghanga, Wafula Burke and Ongwe acted like they were pretty much in the dark as concerns OO’s life challenges and from their eulogies they appeared genuine for sacrificing their time and means to come for OO’s burial in OO’s last year, months, days and hours his only faithful companion was the tethered sheep my last conversation with OO was on 12th June 2019. last time we were together at Luanda Dudi was in May 2019 replying reverse when he returned from Durban we met in Nairobi and he informed me his sisters had instructed him to relocate to his ancestral land from where they kept their promises and constructed for him the mabati structure where he spent his last months. just like in his posting much as the mabati structure was 500 meters from the electricity lines the last mile connection had not reached him hence his ability to post on Jukwaa or send an e-mail was enabled when he traveled to Yala or Luanda Dudi on earlier posting elsewhere we reminiscences our times with OO let me begin counting the 40 days mourning period, today being day 1
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Post by podp on Jul 7, 2019 17:21:33 GMT 3
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Post by podp on Jul 7, 2019 16:33:25 GMT 3
THE APPOINTMENT AHEAD There's a peace found in death, saw it on many a dead man's face There is a horror too in death, saw that too on many a death mask I picture Onyango Oloo's face, as the irreversible kiss of death sealed his heart: Was it a peace found at last, or the horror of a death that should have been late?[/quote
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Post by podp on Oct 15, 2017 20:36:49 GMT 3
Well let me disappoint you and denounce the man from my "backyard". There's a reason why elections are rarely annulled and it has little to do with supporting status quo. The Pandora's box that annulments entail are simply not worth the hassle. No, oyonka Omwenga, Justice Maraga will not be remembered for the historic ruling but for the costs in treasure and lost opportunity he has ensured the entire nation will have to endure. The only thing we look forward to is not so much his legacy but his retirement in 2018... That's pretty much my thought, as I have said elsewhere on this board. But I also struggle to figure Judge Maraga's mind. Is he really confident that the case of incomprehensibility of the Aug 8th presidential vote was made in court, reporting malpractice allegations notwithstanding, or that any other election would stand valid if viewed through the eye (lazy eye) of his Sept 1 bench? Don't these questions matter? some how Maraga is giving us not only Africa but other emerging states to think and act out of the two traditions. in the 60s to 80s the in thing was military coups. then when the demand for more "civility" we entered voting band wagon to change governments. well what Maranga ruling gives us an opportunity to do is stop rigging. remember when Mubarak and now Sisi in Egypt won elections with 99% percent and no one raised a voice? is it not refreshing that RAO in 2013 and now in 2017 sought SCOK and as much as 2013 ruling is under the bridge the ruling of 2017 has opened many eyes. that some formula predetermined the winner is no longer mysterious even to non mathematicians and non ICT literate fellows. it has been demystifying and every day as one listens to PORK spewing venom and RAO polarizing non Gema and Kalenjins some synthesis has to be a logical outcome. who remembers Mutunga fondly and says so in public? let us wait and after a similar period ponder on Maranga. those who never lived in Nyayo dark days may never know the fear and abhorrence Uhuruto pair wishes to return to Kenya.
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Post by podp on Oct 4, 2017 13:42:04 GMT 3
This is PART TWO of my digital essay.
I pointed out that unlike South Africa, Kenya did not have the equivalent of the South African Communist Party nor its stalwarts of the calibre of Chris Hani or Joe Slovo[/
Today, I want to talk about the SUBJECTIVE ingredients for a revolutionary situation to obtain in Kenya.
In our present Kenyan context can we replicate the same in Kenya?
Obviously NOT.
The conditions in Burkina Faso are not synonymous with Kenya and therefore those heady dreamers who are fantasizing about a similar uprising happening in this country totally miss the point.
I think a better frame of reference would be to study something also in Africa, which happened even before the late Captain Thomas Sankara came to power.
I am talking about the historic United Democratic Front of South Africa.
The first branches of what later became the United Democratic Front were formed in May 1983 .
The UDF was launched nationally at a meeting at Mitchell's Plain on 20 August 1983. Three national presidents were appointed. In the period from 1983 to 1989 the UDF established itself as one of the most prominent political movements in South Africa with more than 600 affiliated organizations-political youth, women's and student and teacher organisations.
After its formation, the UDF declared it wanted to establish a true democracy in which all South Africans could participate and create a single, non-racial, unfragmented South Africa. The UDF was non-racial in the sense that it welcomed support from members of all races. Although it permitted group mobilization based on a specific ethnicity, the overall aim remained the achievement of a non-racial society. The dominant political characteristic of the UDF was that most of its affiliated members supported the Freedom Charter.
FOLKS, LET ME TAKE A BREAK.
I HAVE BEEN WRITING FOR SOME TIME AND I NEED TO SNUGGLE IN BED. I WILL CONTINUE THE ESSAY WHEN I WAKE UP IN THE MORNING.
STAY TUNED...
let me use your proposal for UDF not related to that thing MDVD had before 2013 election and it got babtized United Devil Forces, to share with us one small country at the middle of Europe that has been neutral during the Cold War era. Austria has had two strong parties since the end of the European wars of the 30s and 40s dubbed World War II, namely reds aka socialists SPO and blacks aka clerics OVP. it is the Freedom Part of Austria FPO we discuss today in my rejoinder to your above. it was founded in 1956 by Anton Reinthaller who served in a national socialist government formed in collaboration with Hitler, yes the one who preached only blue eyed Germans belonged to the pure race while the rest of humanity were vermins to be exterminated, after the Auschluss in 1938. FPO stress on nationalism makes it a typical liberal party. it's ideology emphasizes preservation of individual liberties, as State power grows, endorses free enterprise and individual initiative and opposes large scale role for the state in the ownership of enterprise. FPO is against socialist idea of striving for greater equality between socioeconomic groups. so as befits the city of Sigmund Freud, Vienna has two faces - one sweet, one sinister. behind the schnitzel and strudel, Mozart and the opera, lurks the legacy of the Nazis who forced Jews to clean sidewalks with toothbrushes! for almost one century, save for the Nazi years aka 1938-45, the left has ruled Red Vienna, long prized for its pioneering public housing, social welfare - unemployed receive government cheque a with guaranteed housing, electricity and water - and its cultural ferment not forgetting African, Latin American and Asians despots could bank freely in Austrian numbered accounts which are second to those of Swiss. Reinthaller died in 1958 and Friedrich Peter became the head of FPO. between 1956 and 1983 the FPO's share of the vote oscillated between 5 and 8 percent, hence even in parliament it remained a minor party with limited opposition. Norbert Steger was FPO's party chairman between 1980-1986 even serving as vice chancellor and minister for trade in the SPO-FPO coalition. he was not a charismatic politician and, as the coalition's troubles mounted, he lost support among the party's rank and file. Jorg Heider,mthen leader of the Carinthian branch of the party, launched a successful coup against Steger and become the new chairman. he was a dashing figure, handsome and his self confidence striker many observers as arrogance. he stirred controversy after controversy by his remarks about Austria's proper place in the German cultural community. in 1989 he was elected governor displacing OVP as the second strongest party in Carinthian history when even OVP gave him votes. Austria never underwent denazification programs after 1945 hence Jorg Heider born in 1950 used FPO morphing its roots in groups of former Nazis to a xenophobic message that blends with concern for the little guy. charismatic Heider rode briefly into national government and FPO has thrived beyond his death in a car crash in 2008. legally Austria cannot have its population composed of 10% immigrants and Heider brief time in government ensured the figure was further reduced by parliament to 1%. FPO's share of the vote in national elections tripled between 1983 and 1990 when it achieved 17%. now, to the astonishment of many and the alarm of some, the burning question is, Which face will prevail in elections? riding on a wave of anxieties over the tens of thousands or migrants entering Austria, the FPO was second with over 30% of the vote. we don't want an Islamization of Europe, it's current chairman, Heinz Christian Strache, told Austria's public broadcaster as he began his campaign to be Vienna's mayor. we don't want our Christian-Western culture to perish. FPO has a strong base of support in the provinces of Carinthian and Salzburg. the party draws much of its support from the middle class, salaried employees and self employed. more than 60% of its votes are under 44 years and well educated. in addition to an organization of businessmen, it has groups for academics, students and retired persons. FPO's party structure is decentralized, and provincial organizations play an important role in party affairs. the party chairman is elected by party conference, chooses the party manager and general secretary. the latter liaises between federal leaders and provincial organizations. now back in Kenya where only KANU has a history beyond 10 years it would be a tall order for UDF to beat that but it is doable when structures devoid of SPV are in place namely a rallying call with the subjects clear that they are in only when they win election and join the Jubilee bandwagon as say Western Kenya leaders have done starting with fallen governor aspirants like Akaranga, Lusaka, Otuoma, Chanzu etc. and MP losers like Ababu etc. throw in the toxic nature of our negative ethnicity led by UhuRuto pretenders as you correctly noted, we are on a Sisyphus task to emulate FPO in its tenacity despite 100 years of SPO rule. Sebastian Kurz now 31 years is standing for election after successful rebranding OVP and looks set to form government in the coming elections. he has not ruled out partnership with FPO. he has vowed to shake up the government in Austria, not ruling out leaving the EU, and he will clamp down immigrants. he told an election rally in Austria, October 15 is our chance to change this country. And dear friends, to be honest, it is time for change. FPO is poised to become a kingmaker as a junior coalition party. neither SPO or OVP ever imagined that in 1956....1966...1977...1987....1997 UDF can work out similar wonders as long as it does not fall into the SPV of Kenyan parties except KANU
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Post by podp on Oct 3, 2017 6:45:17 GMT 3
Part One of a Digital Essay by Onyango Oloo
Part One of a Digital Essay by Onyango Oloo But why am I at the lectern, uninvited, giving this “sermon” in the first place? Well, I am a Kenyan and activist for that matter. I have been following Kenyan news developments for the last little while. If I did not have revolutionary beliefs and commitment I could easily have been in depression by now, so bleak have been the developments. Those of you who follow my postings on Facebook can bear witness to the plethora of updates on Boinett, Matiangi, Kuria, Ruto, Amina Mohammed, Chiloba, Murathe, Uhuru and the rest of the Jubilee gang. You have all seen Youtube updates on the fascist, bloody police carnage on innocent university students, cops stealing phones during Babu Owino’s court appearance and just the other day, the death of a University of Nairobi student. We have all followed NASA and its campaigns to have a level playing field and clean up of IEBC before the Supreme Court ordered Presidential rerun. My question today for my fellow Kenyans is this: Do we have a “revolutionary situation” in the country? And my answer is a simple, if slightly convoluted one: Yes. And No. Allow me to explain. First, if we use the OBJECTIVE yardstick given by Lenin, which to remind my readers: If you look at what is going on in the country, OBJECTIVELY, then absolutely the answer is YES, there is a “revolutionary crisis” obtaining in Kenya. But this is a shingo-upande PARTIAL answer to the question. Because of the SECOND component: The SUBJECTIVE conditions. What do I mean? The late Comrade Mzala, a South African revolutionary who was a member of Umkkhoto we Sizwe armed wing of the ANC and also a stalwart of the South African Commuist Party whose work I used to follow in the SACP journal African Communist once wrote an article that I still remember called “Armed Struggle in South Africa.” Isolated and unco-ordinated activities finally play into the hands of the enemy who tries to deceive the people that the guerrillas are a scared, desperate and gangster-like lot who are afraid of the state security forces. An isolated in a country like South Africa, for instance, is easily drowned in the daily sensational issues in the country many of which are created by criminal gangs. Clearly in Kenya, in terms of struggle we are further from South Africa than the geographical distance between Nairobi and Johannesburg. In the first place, instead of COSATU we have COTU. And in the second place, NASA is no SACP. With all due respect, Raila Odinga is a far cry from Chris Hani nor is Kalonzo Musyoka no Joe Slovo. I say this with NO DISRESPECT intended. So what is to be done in Kenya then? The OBJECTIVE conditions point to a “revolutionary situation” while SUBJECTIVELY, the conditions are not there. Do we give up and pray for a political messiah to appear miraculously? No. I think not. I will explore the options in Part Two of this digital essay. Read more: jukwaa.proboards.com/post/135224/quote/9599?page=1#ixzz4uPgLzA3q the subjective condition did manifest itself very well in Egypt, after the Arab spring and also in Ukraine after the Orange revolution. bothe countries are now pale shadows of their former selves. www.huffingtonpost.com/david-hearst/the-difference-between-uk_b_4854870.htmlthen we need to look our demographics presently and going forward. our present challenges are very basic not 'lofty' ideals. food first. hence the revolution. "The Green Revolution is absolutely possible in Africa. India has shown what can happen in a relatively short period of time. But it has not happened yet given a number of well-known constraints: the lack of decent roads, storage, extension capacity, and finance to name but a few. But when governments and companies invest in agriculture, dramatic gains are possible. Just look at what has happened in Ethiopia (floriculture), Kenya (horticulture), Nigeria (e-wallet and efficient input distribution system), Rwanda (various crops), among others. For the green revolution to happen in Africa, there is an urgent necessity to increase productivity and to move up the value chain into processed foods. Africa cannot feed itself while getting only a quarter of its potential yields and without processing what it grows." www.afdb.org/en/news-and-events/how-to-make-the-green-revolution-a-reality-in-africa-17294/the subjective conditions you state in your essay lacked in Ivory Coast, Tunisia, Egypt and Ukraine. if UhuRuto pair returns it will be a disaster for Kenya. the legacy they will attempt to create will be akin to Mo1 and Kenyatta 1 of praise singers. they will mirror Gambia "As part of efforts to sustain this mantra of a cult syndrome, Jammeh has ensured that most people in the country have been reduced to praise singers, including those who are expected to speak against some of the bad decisions and actions attributed to his regime like the religious and opinion leaders." www.ouestaf.com/gambia/The-Jammeh-Revolution-Twenty-Years-of-Fear-and-Despondency_a95.htmlanother horror in store for activists if UhuRuto pair returns will be a plethora of terrible tales like this one from an Egyptian who was in the thick of things before Mubarak's ouster. "For the last three years, though, I have lived in self-imposed exile in San Francisco. I was fleeing assassination attempts and newspaper headlines that smeared me as a traitor. I found safety—and the pain of dislocation and loss." priceonomics.com/how-i-went-from-leading-the-egyptian-revolution-to/this pair of UhuRuto is what Trump prefers calling evil doers instead of the standard terrorists. "The transparency of the Internet is a double-edged sword. It’s effective at reaching journalists and a mass of people. But organizing protests online is like faxing the Head of Police your plans.,,,,Ten years after I became an activist, we finally had our revolution. But it was not complete. Toppling President Mubarak was just the tip of the iceberg. ,,,,,, In the year after we ousted Mubarak, I slowly accepted that I needed to leave Egypt. I had an American visa since I had gone to D.C. to meet with politicians, so I decided to fly to Washington. My hope was that activists and liberals would succeed in reforming Egypt, and that I could return home soon.,,,,, This meant I had to face the reality that my money was running out, and I could not legally work until I received asylum. On occasion, I made money teaching Arabic to someone I found on Craigslist. But even though I ate cheaply and, since I’d overstayed my welcome in friends’ homes, moved into a cheap room in the basement of a house in Virginia, I stressed about money. ,,,,, The Muslim Brotherhood government was seeking power in ways that made us fear our country would soon look like an Iranian theocracy. At one point, the president issued a decree that placed his actions beyond the review of any Egyptian court, which gave him nearly absolute power." priceonomics.com/how-i-went-from-leading-the-egyptian-revolution-to/When el-Sisi and the military over threw the Muslim Brotherhood things went from bad to worse. "When the Muslim Brotherhood occupied major squares in protest, the military massacred them. Soldiers bulldozed through the encampments and shot live ammunition from helicopters. Journalists described people sprinting with bodies in their arms, and Human Rights Watch estimated the death toll at over 1,000 unarmed men, women, and children.,,,, Egypt was like a parody of a dictatorship. Soldiers appeared on college campuses to confront students who criticized the government. The state executed an activist I knew on charges of committing a crime that took place after he’d been arrested. Liberal politicians fled the country, " priceonomics.com/how-i-went-from-leading-the-egyptian-revolution-to/the saddest part of this long essay is what is happening to the activists. Ahmed Salah's memoir "You Are Under Arrest for Masterminding the Egyptian Revolution" is available on Amazon. back to our situation we have to thank the fearless Orengo and RAO for unmasking the fake election we had. even if they never see state house we are a lot wiser on the thieving and evil minds of UhuRuto pair and their computer generated leaders.
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Post by podp on Oct 3, 2017 6:41:33 GMT 3
Part One of a Digital Essay by Onyango Oloo
But why am I at the lectern, uninvited, giving this “sermon” in the first place? Well, I am a Kenyan and activist for that matter. I have been following Kenyan news developments for the last little while. If I did not have revolutionary beliefs and commitment I could easily have been in depression by now, so bleak have been the developments. Those of you who follow my postings on Facebook can bear witness to the plethora of updates on Boinett, Matiangi, Kuria, Ruto, Amina Mohammed, Chiloba, Murathe, Uhuru and the rest of the Jubilee gang. You have all seen Youtube updates on the fascist, bloody police carnage on innocent university students, cops stealing phones during Babu Owino’s court appearance and just the other day, the death of a University of Nairobi student. We have all followed NASA and its campaigns to have a level playing field and clean up of IEBC before the Supreme Court ordered Presidential rerun. My question today for my fellow Kenyans is this: Do we have a “revolutionary situation” in the country?And my answer is a simple, if slightly convoluted one: Yes. And No. Allow me to explain. First, if we use the OBJECTIVE yardstick given by Lenin, which to remind my readers: If you look at what is going on in the country, OBJECTIVELY, then absolutely the answer is YES, there is a “revolutionary crisis” obtaining in Kenya. But this is a shingo-upande PARTIAL answer to the question. Because of the SECOND component: The SUBJECTIVE conditions.What do I mean? The late Comrade Mzala, a South African revolutionary who was a member of Umkkhoto we Sizwe armed wing of the ANC and also a stalwart of the South African Commuist Party whose work I used to follow in the SACP journal African Communist once wrote an article that I still remember called “Armed Struggle in South Africa.”Isolated and unco-ordinated activities finally play into the hands of the enemy who tries to deceive the people that the guerrillas are a scared, desperate and gangster-like lot who are afraid of the state security forces. An isolated in a country like South Africa, for instance, is easily drowned in the daily sensational issues in the country many of which are created by criminal gangs. Clearly in Kenya, in terms of struggle we are further from South Africa than the geographical distance between Nairobi and Johannesburg. In the first place, instead of COSATU we have COTU. And in the second place, NASA is no SACP. With all due respect, Raila Odinga is a far cry from Chris Hani nor is Kalonzo Musyoka no Joe Slovo. I say this with NO DISRESPECT intended. So what is to be done in Kenya then? The OBJECTIVE conditions point to a “revolutionary situation” while SUBJECTIVELY, the conditions are not there. Do we give up and pray for a political messiah to appear miraculously? No. I think not. I will explore the options in Part Two of this digital essay.the subjective condition did manifest itself very well in Egypt, after the Arab spring and also in Ukraine after the Orange revolution. bothe countries are now pale shadows of their former selves. www.huffingtonpost.com/david-hearst/the-difference-between-uk_b_4854870.html
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Post by podp on Sept 28, 2017 22:53:58 GMT 3
THE BABU OWINO CASE The first report is he was arrested for hate speech. This followed utterances at a rally in Kawangware, Nairobi. But it soon came clear to prosecutors, this was a dead end. The national cohesion and integration Comission, NCIC, through Dr. Joseph Onsongo couldn't find the hate in the speech. What remained was for the recalcitrant bureaucracy to make a fool of itself in court, where lawyer Orengo shrugged them off with a bit of a contemptuous lesson on legal definitions. So humiliated were the authorities, that they decided to go all out to wreck Babu Owino, wherefore they re-arrested him an alleged assault on Jacobs. Jacobs was his last SONU opponent. But the thing is just how stupid this hate-soeech law is. How it is used by a mentally retarded, say backward adminstration and parochial bureaucracy, to witch-hunt critics, and intimidate would-be critics. It appears the ire was the hint by Mr. Owino at the historical options of Kenya. Revolution. A mass uprising the type that ejected Gbagbo, Compaore, Milosevic, Gaddafi, Caeaucescu, Mubarak. Its always important to know the real reason of a political act as opposed to the stated state reason, even if it is the withdrawal of the bodyguards of former VPs and PMs! The hate speech law is a fool's remedy to a gaping wound. We are apart and at a stalemate, with stinted, clueless leaders. A slow motion walk to Disasterland! the embers begin to glow PORK is the most dangerous individual in Kenya now to a visitor from outer space RAO is the most visible and probably real power keg DPORK holding PORK's ball and reminding his boss of unfinished business in the Rift V interesting times ahead as our options as a country remain 3
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Post by podp on Sept 27, 2017 22:21:05 GMT 3
You may want to dismiss her decision for the number of pages, but you also refuse to go into the details of the decision to see if she makes a cogent argument. As to whether she served as a magistrate or a judge, why not raise the same question on Smokin Wanjala who was never on the bench prior to his appointment. I view your comments a tard sexist and unfortunate! We found out Njoki has a Masters degree in addition to the LLB. It is DCJ who has one degree. All the same no sexist undertones were intended in my post. What would you say to www.the-star.co.ke/news/2017/09/25/corridors-of-power_c1641144
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Post by podp on Sept 27, 2017 22:10:06 GMT 3
Corrected
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Post by podp on Sept 27, 2017 22:02:39 GMT 3
There is only one irregularity that stands out i I am unaware of the details of how things went in the elections, but the above bullets don't rise #4: Are any investigation due? I reiterate that question, but not with respect to this bullet alone, but every one of them. I am now of the impression that all at play have secrets that would not be appealing to the voter, if disclosed. That is why no one wants to dig into the truth of votes. Not NASA, not Jubilee, not Supreme court. Anyone who is in this truly for democracy's interest would be saying, "lets recount the votes even while we have to abide by the SC's order." Your impression is spot on. www.nation.co.ke/news/Okiya-Omtatah-sues-IEBC-over-reuse-of-KIEMs-kits-in-repeat-poll/1056-4114870-1a1pj1z/index.htmlAlready IEBC is in a hurry to format the kits prompting OO's action. Will share the Meru county story. All the PNU affiliated MCA's ....32 in number all lost in the just concluded election. PNU was associated with former governor Munya. One former MCA in her ward obtained 1,700 votes in the 2013 with total cast votes then below 5,500 against <7,000 registered voters. Come 2017 the registered voters were 16,000 and those who voted 15,700! She still got her 1,700 but the Kiraitu backed incoming MCA has in excess of 8,000 votes and two other had votes slightly above her 2,000! What was even more hilarious were governor Kiraitu's votes....280,000 against 230,000 for former governor Munya. The women representative on Kiraitu's side got 281,000 while the PNU one got 231,000. The inhabitants of Meru clicked their votes did not matter and that the leaders were computer generated. You can do the arithmetic 54% magic margin. So secrets abound. Nairobi, Kirinyanga, Bomet and other counties that reproduced the 54% magic margin would form good investigation pieces rather than the energy used on poor single parent raised child now MP Babu Owino who in the charge sheet compared Bulldogs like late Qadaffi, ICC held Gbabo and dared suggest we have a puppy to deal with in comparison.
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Post by podp on Sept 27, 2017 21:56:20 GMT 3
There is only one irregularity that stands out i I am unaware of the details of how things went in the elections, but the above bullets don't rise #4: Are any investigation due? I reiterate that question, but not with respect to this bullet alone, but every one of them. I am now of the impression that all at play have secrets that would not be appealing to the voter, if disclosed. That is why no one wants to dig into the truth of votes. Not NASA, not Jubilee, not Supreme court. Anyone who is in this truly for democracy's interest would be saying, "lets recount the votes even while we have to abide by the SC's order." Your impression is spot on. www.nation.co.ke/news/Okiya-Omtatah-sues-IEBC-over-reuse-of-KIEMs-kits-in-repeat-poll/1056-4114870-1a1pj1z/index.htmlAlready IEBC is in a hurry tof format the kits prompting OO's action. Will share the Meru county story. All the PNU affiliated MCA's ....32 in number all lost in the just concluded election. PNU was associated with former governor Munya. One former MCA in her ward obtained 2,700 votes in the 2013 with total cast votes then below 5,500 against <7,000 registered voters. Come 2017 the registered voters were 16,000 and those who voted 15,700! She still got her 2,700 but the Kiraitu backed incoming MCA has in excess of 8,000 votes and two other had votes slightly above her 2,700! What was even more hilarious were governor Kiraitu's votes....280,000 against 230,000 for former governor Munya. The women representative on Kiraitu's side got 231,000 while the PNU one got 231,000. The inhabitants of Meru clicked their votes did not matter and that the leaders were computer generated. You can do the arithmetic 54% magic margin. So secrets abound. Nairobi, Kirinyanga, Bomet and other counties that reproduced the 54% magic margin would form good investigation pieces rather than the energy used on poor single parent raised child now MP Babu Owino who in the charge sheet compared Bulldogs like late Qadaffi, ICC held Gbabo and dared suggest we have a puppy to deal with in comparison.
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Post by podp on Sept 26, 2017 20:15:36 GMT 3
I am not yet halfway, reading every script of the Judges, both concurring majority and dissenting opinion! nb: there is no alternative to essay writing! performing written marathons is quite a different competence, as I experienced, listening to some, like Lady Justice Mwilu!
Was also keen on full judgement and gave students tutorial telling them is Njoki could write 400 pages in 21 days surely they can provide 10 highlights from both concurring and dissenting opinions. After they submitted the assignment the following merged. Among the technical issues six matters that were similar are:- 1. A whopping 11,000 polling stations did not have G3 network. Hence who in their right minds would switch off GPS and satellite phones? 2. Security features of forms 34 A not present yet the printer was one! Who in this age would photocopy or forge such forms and why 3. IEBC disobeying SCOK to give access to the servers. What makes them have contempt of court with such impunity? 4. KIEMS devices, especially how the IEBC portal, API, servers etc. were connected assuming the Polling Officers who were meant to key in data both where G3 network and where not available move to where the network was available, gives room for culpability. Are any investigation due? 5. IEBC ICT Director's affidavit said where no G3 network, POs were instructed to go to constituency headquarters or move to areas network is available. Culpability investigations can also be done here! Why disable GPS and satellite phones? 6. Technical Committee (ETAC) better known as Kiraitu-Orengo joint select committee which had Jubilee and NASA experts was disbanded by the high court for being unconstitutional. SCOK only noted this but neither concurring nor dissenting pronounced themselves on the matter! 7. 8. 9. 10. The SCOK Technical Experts. Mmmmmh
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Post by podp on Sept 23, 2017 22:58:14 GMT 3
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Post by podp on Sept 23, 2017 22:44:58 GMT 3
You alre right about b being required to be greater than 1. My key point though, is the question that must be answered before this plot theory can count should be: is the model the engine for the reported data as alleged, or is it just a fitment to the reported data (or even non-existent in the particular parametrization)? Hypothesis in "real" science is either true or null. For the fitment to be null, IEBC, should have copied what mPesa does. Give the supporting evidence i.e. Forms 34a, b to z within the shortest time possible and definitely less than a day i.e. 24 hours after end of voting. Therefore if each polling point had between 1 and 700 voters just start counting 1 to 700 and see if you take an hour. Then assuming each polling station had 24 polling points i.e. A to Z assume after assembling all the results of the polling points simple arithmetic of the 24 polling points took 2 hours. The sum arrived at is then transmitted to the constituency polling center at the speed of light i.e. Assuming it took the time the sun's rays travel from the sun to the earth, give the transmission 8 or so minutes. Then the constituency sits on the results from the polling centre for an hour to re confirm from other sources e.g. Secondary ones like news media people, secret police, agents of the protagonists, etc. Then the constituency relays its form 34 b to z onwards to Chi Robber and Cheb Liar. So the two i.e. Robber and Liar take half a day fidgeting between themselves and their sponsors, say PORK and RAO. They sleep for 6 hours simultaneously and wake up fresh. That is 1+2+1+12+6=20 hours. So as long as Chi Robber and Cheb Liar are unable to utilize technology to do the arithmetic for them it beats logic why they did not announce the winner and looser within 24 hours of the polls closing down. So it must be true they were doing what late Kivuitu told us returning officers did in 2007. Cooking results while the formula y=mx+c fed our screens expecting we would be psychologically as in 2013 when Uhuruto led from start to finish.
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Post by podp on Sept 23, 2017 22:21:46 GMT 3
We must allow our local madmen to behave silly and as long as no one gets hurt, let them be! This is very true. When anyone gives a mad person air time one really has to be idle. What is interesting is that the mad man in question is PORK's MP. Then baba Yao has added up being PORK's governor! The inhabitants of Kiambu too make an interesting lot. Never knew Shebesh's late father was former Nairobi mayor until his burial the other day when for the first time since the 8th August election both PORK and RAO shared a podium. Both mad man Kuria and governor Waititu literally bowed to RAO instead of circumsizing him as they had vowed if he steps in Kiambu. Best to "allow our local madmen to behave silly and as long as no one gets hurt, let them be"
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Post by podp on Sept 23, 2017 21:59:26 GMT 3
Podp, nothing in this discussion stops you from focusing on IEBC.
By the way, after the rerun of elections new data will emerge to fit a similar regression plot. That plot will be: Winner's count = a + b*looser's count + model error, where a,b are each > 0. So we could preemptively invalidate the rerun and every election there after on the basis of the regression plot theory, except if we could show that the speculation that such a model is used to generate data is factually founded, and rather the model is not fitted on the data from polls. Wrong my good friend. If a and b are greater than zero but less than 1 the winner's count cannot be greater than the looser's count. For the graph to be maintained a,b > 1 IEBC as the blue high light shows makes more interesting focus. SCOK detailed rulings, for 2013 and now for 2017 is for law practioners and scholars, not necessarily in that order. Incidentally any dissent as of both Ojwang and Njoki will never be quoted in any future court ruling in any jurisdiction. Curiously one can tell Njoki never advanced beyond LLB. She never practiced law and never had experience as a magistrate before climbing to be a judge! Hence her 400 plus page versus the 4 judges less than 200 pages and also less than 100 pages Ojwang submission has been having Masters and PhD students hilariously asking why is no university giving her a honorary doctorate for submitting a 400 plus page thesis in less than one month. Jokers waiting for Mugabe quotes on Njoki
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Post by podp on Sept 23, 2017 20:49:40 GMT 3
INTERLUDE The water privatisation battles as they shape out at a county near you Friday September 15 2017 WASTAGE Although Nairobi Water pumps 550,000 cubic litres a day to the city, officials say that 40 percent of this is never accounted for. It is either stolen or leaks to the ground – thanks to aged pipes and illegal
WATER BOARD
In the last several months, Nairobi Water has been facing industrial disputes as the workers’ union started protesting the intended sale
Thursday June 29 2017
The Kenya County Government Workers Union (KCGWU) branch secretary
DISMANTLE BOARD
She added that the board has rescinded a decision by human resource and committees to reinstate the two.
Friday August 18 2017
The board of directors of Nairobi City Water and Sewerage Company (NCWSC) will not renew the contract of Managing Director Philip Gichuki despite workers boycotting
TERMINAL LEAVE
In a letter to Mr Gichuki dated August 17, 2017, the board directed him to immediately proceed on terminal leav [/quote]k 40% of all water pumped to the city is stolen. That red high light where you sanitize theft with "illegal" makes me wonder why we should expect the city to be served better by a peddler aka Sonko who replaced the pharmacist aka Kid Era. The best thing about the plastic ban coupled with the NYS being used to mop up plastic bags discarded plus the lumpen Sonko calls Rescue team is that CBD and a sizable city environs are sparkling relative to Kid Era times. Deep government is surely giving lip service to this "leaked" planned sale of Water and Sewerage works. The fact that, through known personalities, led by Uhuro's cousin aka Beth minus one breast courtesy of cancer, preside over sale of the 40% of piped water it will be a miracle if they Water and Sewerage services are privatized! New addition is Exhauster trucks which take septic tanks waste from the city's suburbs and deposit the raw sewerage to Nairobi river not caring about down stream folks.
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Post by podp on Sept 23, 2017 20:27:33 GMT 3
Advancement of this regression plot argument presumes that the plot was first developed, and then used to produce results which would then be announced. The ethical expectation is that, if such a plot was developed anywhere, it was developed upon reported results. There is only one way of testing which case rules: recount the votes, or use forms 34A or B. The court did not even attempt a basic test of whether the plot actually fitted the announced results. If we have a chronological capture of the announcements, we could reproduce the plot at various times and see if it is real. We can at least check whether the plot fits with the final result, although that would not be confirmation. It is inexcusable of a court to accept such an argument into evidence and care not to inspect its validity. The one with the wilder imagination wins in such a court. This fixated and prolonged attack on the SCOK is about the forthcoming 26th October election repeat. www.nation.co.ke/oped/Opinion/Expect-the-same-consequences-if-IEBC-does-not-reform-/440808-4108228-12hndu2/index.htmlWe need to focus more on IEBC and the process, if different, it plans to use. Otherwise with the same team they will use a simple formula UHuruto votes= factor greater than one multiplied by RAo votes plus a constant i.e. y=mx+c. This will reproduce the regression plot.
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Post by podp on Jun 11, 2017 21:49:03 GMT 3
BUY ME AN ELECTION: THE PLUTOCRATIC ASCENDANCY TO POLITICAL OFFICEYou know it is a republic, right? So one gotta take a long think about this dynastic business at the presidency of Kenya --(and beyond!) Right. One who is fortuned, leave alone the less, still needs sponsorship. Powerful sponsorship. Behind the scenes it is total war! And yet it is still just between ideological soulmates --in other words, the comprador split into wings warring over state power, for theirs is to loot and plunder and go under, This money will buy the Kenyan election is the historical ascendancy of the plutocrat. And since wealth tends to super concentrate in such unequal systems as ours, it is no coincidence dynasties are running amok. But dynasties, we have seen, is an inferior model and already belongs to the ash-heap of history! So we are late, very late. And digging all the deeper while in a hole. (That hole can easily be called capitalist underdevelopment! And the deeper digging while in it, is to entrust the way out to a class whose instincts is to loot and plunder, turning statecraft into an orgy of depraved self-aggrandisement. (Easily the NYS heist, Mafya House heist, forces munitions factory heist, are examples of depraved self aggrandisement. For more, read the auditor general's report, or visit the tender vouchers at a county near you!) It is as if we can't help ourselves but steal public money! --depraved! We beat the Greeks in misuse! --'there is no opportunity these people see to waste money they don't exploit to the maximum!' A German accountant is said to have cried in Athens when, as a member of the Troika, they went to read the books the Greek treasury had been keeping over all those loans they were now defaulting on! Reading Ouko's reports while looking at the Kenyan loan (taxi) metre ticking on, I have some anxiety, even if Turkana is the new Saudi Arabia! Liquid black gold! Will the Kenyan electorate get the President they want? I don't think so. The president they want sorts stuff out. ABC stuff, like public healthcare and education. The president they will vote for and get, will merely be a charlatan and pretender, but one very vetted by vested interests, and therefore invested and indebted to Big Money interests. How much do those controlling vested interests coincide or intersect with the public interest!? They intersect at looting. And Wanjiku is the looser. And so the political economy of Kenya remains a problem demanding a resolution. And it is not yet Uhuru! The aluta rages on, even if invisible to the lazy eye. the world is flat so no republic really exists. take this "he convergence of technology and events that allowed India, China, and so many other countries to become part of the global supply chain for services and manufacturing, creating an explosion of wealth in the middle classes of the world's two biggest nations, giving them a huge new stake in the success of globalization?" www.amazon.com/World-Flat-History-Twenty-first-Century/dp/0374292884so we do not need to see Europe, USA and the decadent Middle East leader, the keeper of the holy shrines as the beacons. most things in Kenya that are imports are from Chine. India has been with us since the lunatic express came. what I think is best with our current world even if the 2nd liberation was a still born is the World is on Fire. www.amazon.com/World-Fire-Exporting-Democracy-Instability/dp/0385721862the "Markets concentrate wealth, often spectacular wealth, in the hands of the market-dominant minority, while democracy increases the political power of the impoverished majority. In these circumstances the pursuit of free market democracy becomes an engine of potentially catastrophic ethnos nationalism, pitting a frustrated “indigenous” majority, easily aroused by opportunistic vote-seeking politicians, against a resented, wealthy ethnic minority." so it is easy to see why before 2007 election, Yeltsin Obako, thought he could rule Kenya sorrounded by the Mt. Kenya Mafia alone. however the beauty with the 2nd liberation allowed Obako's few elite to amass led by chief of Staff minister Murugaru who was famed as a landlord dodger before he become an MP in 2003 to a multi billionaire with the proceeds of anglo Leasing theft. He has been denying it to present more than 10 years since he was labelled a corrupt man by many. like late David Mwiraria who was labelled a thief and he died still oscillating between his hospital bed in Karen hospital and literally a prisoner in his Karen home a similar fate awaits Murugaru. www.standardmedia.co.ke/article/2001230121/githongo-former-minister-chris-murungaru-tried-to-stop-anglo-leasing-probeGithogo the star in "It is Our Turn to Eat" has "Wrong's exposé of the machinery of corruption. She dissects the deeper problem of Kenya's patronage system, which exploits the state as a source of loot and makes allowances for the tribal parties in power. The resulting graft and discrimination—which Wrong argues fueled the communal slaughter surrounding Kenya's 2007 election—reinforces Kenyans' view of existence as a merciless contest, in which only ethnic preference offers hope of survival. Githongo's saga highlights this pan-African problem and addresses possibilities for change. " the best thing about our 2nd liberation is that while the minority elite concentrate wealth, democracy allows the impoverished majority to hate them with a passion. hence during Kenyatta II unlike the times of his father who caused many disappearances from Pinto through Mboya to JM Kariuki, he had to bring the chicken seller aka hustler on board to have more elites in the fence of thieves. the Mt. Kenya Mafia who thought they could have Yelsin Obako enough had to contend with the 2007 PEV that showed the bright side of our 2nd liberation and the best thing about democracy. while the minority can concentrate wealth, the majority can be aroused by opportunistic vote seeking politicians as RAO and his Pentagon then proved. now as we go to 2017 the elites are few again and for them to continue lording over us they need to increase the number in their basket. fast forward we have the major heists that have occurred. on the fabled SGR none other than former PM claims what they negotiated was renegotiated and an extra 100 billion loaded on it. www.standardmedia.co.ke/article/2001241751/raila-we-will-jail-those-who-inflated-sgr-costthen we have the NYS heists whose chief architect wants to be Governor in Kirinyanga to protect the ill gotten wealth. add the Galana Irrigation lie that is seeing maize price fixed at kshs. 90 per 2 kilogram packet but it is unavailable in shops. www.standardmedia.co.ke/ktnnews/video/2000130559/-scramble-for-unga-maize-flour-deficit-lingers-on-raila-wants-agricultural-cabint-secretary-firedload that to the sugar and the Somali invasion twist. and as they say, vote a clown to get a circus we are in the throes of it again. so the Jubilee brigade has made it a point to mention RAO here, RAO there, such that it appears all they aim to do in future is contain RAO. www.standardmedia.co.ke/ktnnews/only the minority elite have lots to worry and not the impoverished majority. so the opportunistic nature of both RAO and Kenyatta makes more scales fall from the majority. what lacks in our case is a Trump to make both irrelevant and in promising to drain the swamps, sweep them aside.
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Post by podp on Jun 4, 2017 19:58:49 GMT 3
interesting resurrection bringing to mind "Although they provide ample evidence of backstabbing, revenge, deceit, conniving, and "dirty tricks" in the struggle to oust Clinton, arguing that "the better the president and the country did, the more his adversaries appeared willing to endorse almost anything short of assassination to do him in," they also acknowledge that Clinton's reckless behavior, along with the "panicky, defensive, and occasionally less-than-perfectly-honest" responses of the White House press office, didn't hurt his opponents." www.amazon.com/Hunting-President-Ten-Year-Campaign-Destroy/dp/0312245475/ref=pd_sim_14_2?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_i=0312245475&pd_rd_r=VPGJ2RJTPXMZY09A7A6F&pd_rd_w=CmrJZ&pd_rd_wg=cFW6a&psc=1&refRID=VPGJ2RJTPXMZY09A7A6Fwhen reading the first 5 red high lights a reviewer's note on Carlsons other book "Big Lies" could not help but comment "Even the reviews of the book mis-state its point and attack the authors on an ad hominem basis rather than refute its arguments." hence one wonders if 1982, 1997, 2007 and more recent 2013 the subject was Rao or elections in Kenya? no wonder jakaswaga brings the tall tales of 'discoverers' of our lakes and mountains. it would make more real and interesting if as State House tutor aka mwalimumkuu we learnt how Mo1 on proclaiming he is following Nyayo za baba Uhuru ended up where he was in 1982 august and how he used it to re-define his next 20 years on the throne as both paramount chief and head of state. how did our economy, say perform in those post 1982 years and did Rao the man matter? between 2003 and 2007 we need to compare the government led by Obako the toad and how the economy performed relatively better than at any other time save for the 1963 to 1969 period. the only down side which reared its head was the socio contract whereby with Obako uplifting more of his ethnic base to shore him up coupled with the then opposition chief, current PORK, deciding to play ball and the reading was 'because we all belong to the same ethnic community'. the referendum of 2005 pushed current PORK closer to Obako and the rest is history. the ethnic clashes of post 2007 elections were a pointer to the unfinished business of what the colonialists started and Onyayo aka Kenyatta 1st epitomized as concerns land grabbing. many ethnic Kikuyus were transferred from their ancestral lands to former Rift Valley and that is well detailed in historical injustices. elections was just a trigger and hence no single individual, especially non Kalenjin, can be accused of the mayhem that followed. the blue highlights are another attempt at 'Big Lies' www.amazon.com/Big-Lies-Right-Wing-Propaganda-Distorts/dp/0312315600Vision 2030 was launched in 2008. it has five year medium term plans the second one 2013-2017 is what we are seeing now. among the flagship projects of V2030 the SGR, LAPPSET etc. stand out. what any pretender to the throne needs to explain is how, when and at what cost will they fulfill the V2030. sample this. "Finally, Vision 2030 settled on giving priority to the present SGR and the Lapsset Project with the clear understanding that these would be regional projects so that the optimum economic benefits would be realised. Unfortunately, Eastern African countries, members of the East African Community that is, do not seem do be reading from the same script these days. The Kenyan SGR would make a lot of economic sense were it to complete its journey to Kampala and Kigali. " www.the-star.co.ke/news/2017/06/03/the-sgr-is-here-and-the-lunatic-line-is-now-history-but-we-musnt-be_c1572717very little of what is in V2030 has been done and the only aberration from it was the political and social aspects. political pillar requires we be issue based and not naming names or ethnicities, while the social pillar calls for inclusiveness something the Jubilee administration fairs dismally as two ethnicities dominate the decision making levels in almost all Executive appointments. on education and in particular higher education the current Cabinet Secretary, Matiangi, has been a sad case. Kenyatta University has had an acting Vice Chancellor for more than one year! one wonders why the lady VC, Mugendi, had to be hounded out of office if no replacement was in site. same case for Moi University where again another acting VC is in place in excess of six months now. what started in tabloids like the Citizen is creeping to mainstream media. sample this. "Although the Jubilee Government has attempted a number of controversial reforms in higher education such as reconstituting councils and rousing the Commission of University Education (CUE) from years of slumber, it has maintained a strong hold in the appointment of VCs and their deputies. Accordingly, universities are now retrogressing to Kanu-era machinations in a context where the State is increasingly intrusive in university affairs, and where university bosses are extensions of the State, rather than the university." Read more at: www.standardmedia.co.ke/article/2001242018/overhaul-the-hiring-of-vcs-to-reform-public-universitieson electricity in particular and energy (oil, gas etc.) in general we have a scenario where the Ministry of Energy and Petroleum has a Kalenjin as Cabinet Secretary with ten or more Personal Assistants whose main tasks is to smell deals and deliver the Biwott era 10%. in true fashion of a function Mungiki system both the Principal Secretaries are villagers hailing from the same Kiambu county, same constituency and same ward served by one MCA. electricity projects that were to be public lead like mining of the Mui basin coal in Kitui county have been shelved in favor of importing coal to power the Lamu coal power plant. health too has been a tough call. when PORKs relatives were discovered to have imported containers that were to be mobile clinics the rot in the Ministry of Health became clear. the containers were in the NYS yard in Mombasa. worse the Principal Secretary then in the Ministry of Health appears to be a blood relative of PORK and hence just like the first CS of Education was transferred to Lands ministry so the PS too was sent there instead of facing what happened to future Governor Waiguru. why the Ministry of Health should have a substantial budget allocation when the functions have been devolved only makes sense if corrupt deals are the reason. the frequency of industrial unrest in the health sector is definitely not healthy. sample. “We had negotiated on monetary and non-monetary issues in the CBA. They have to do with working hours, promotion, and pension,” he said. Hospital CEO Dr Wilson Aruasa was to meet union officials to respond to the nurses’ demands and chart the way forward. The hospital has about 1,000 nurses who are members of the Kenya National Union of Nurses." www.the-star.co.ke/news/2017/06/03/mtrh-nurses-out-on-strike-say-2015-pay-deal-not-yet-in-force_c1572755the last two red high lights illuminate our two ethnic PORKs. Mo1, Obako, Kenyatta I and II have shown two styles. Mo1 and Obako during the nusu mkate government displayed similar traits. they looked for king pins from different ethnicities and installed them or their lackeys to Executive decision making levels with the attendant bloated civil service and parastatals used as cash cows. both Kenyatta I and II have had lean Executive appointees but predominately fellow tribesmen. both have been without shame in lifting members of their ethnicities to as high positions as possible with the 'bare foot economy' as their hallmarks. if Kenya was Kiambu + Muranga + Nyeri the two Kenyattas would have been at their element, but unfortunately there are many more counties than those 3 with some only seeing tarmarked road when devolution came into being. the former North Eastern is literally a bandit prone area with our security personnel dying too easily! hence "In Summary The last national day event before this year's General Election would have provided the perfect chance for President Uhuru Kenyatta and Orange Democratic Movement presidential candidate Raila Odinga to put on a display of amity. Failure to act upon recommendations of the Truth, Justice and Reconciliation Commission could come to haunt Kenya. " www.nation.co.ke/oped/Opinion/raila-snub-madaraka-lost-opportunity-bridge-tribal-animosity/440808-3954512-vrr3niz/index.html The first time Raila Odinga tried to become president was when he and a few disgruntled airmen and a handful university students tried to topple the civilian government of the then President Daniel Moi in August 1982. Raila Odinga would later try his luck in a democratic process in 1997, but came a distant fourth behind the eventual winner Moi, Matiba and Kibaki. He tried again in 2007 and lost to Kibaki and led demonstrations that left more than 1300 people dead and property worth of billions destroyed and hundreds of families displaced. The mayhem and demonstrations only stopped after he was made Prime Minister following the formation of a coalition government with Kibaki as president. He would later try again against his then Deputy Uhuru Kenyatta in 2013 On infrastructure, the Standard Gauge Railway has remained the main flagship project. With the commissioning of the Madaraka Express on 31st May 2017, Uhuru and Jubilee showcased their commitment to break new grounds and succeed where others had failed. Kenyatta and Jubilee have also invested heavily in the generation of power and connection of counties and households to the national grid. Mainstreaming ICT in the curriculum (the laptop project) is also underway. Higher education reforms are also in top gear with major investment in personnel, research, training and programming. Various women and youth programs have also been started including the NYS program, youth and women fund programs and ease of access to credit facilities and government tendering programs among others. The Galana Kulalu project and the construction and expansion of various dams across the country are meant to shore up food security and transform the agricultural sector as well. NASA has consistently accused Jubillee of politics of exclusion, favoritism and tribalism. Heading into the elections, therefore, NASA has weaved together a team of five (The Pentagon), and with it the slogan ‘10 Million Strong’. Each of the pentagon member is expected to bring their regional support to the formation, with the thinking that the tribal groupings from which the principals comes from, will shore up enough numbers to vanquish and exclude the tribes that are thought to be in leadership today. ~~ Mwalimumkuu @nyumbakubwa ~~
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Post by podp on May 14, 2017 13:19:19 GMT 3
Jakaswanga:
What I did not mention is that QUITE A FEW JUKWAA MEMBERS were grossly offended. One member who I had sent a link to my Tweedlee essay posted a public denunciation on Facebook.
Let me state that I was not offended at all by Jakaswaga's posting of that re-incarnated barbarian lording it over South Africans and who is literally 'sodomizing' Saint Mandela. Conversation now with my friends in Madiba land almost always end with the question "is there something inherently wrong with us black Africans"? Those in authority almost always “hope the blue lights, bodyguards, free housing, free business class flights, adulation from the poor and those hoping to get government contracts etc” will be forever. According to Time Magazine, only Kenya, Angola, Rwanda, Nigeria and South Africa may not see any leadership changes soon. Is that because of stability or stagnation? Here is what they start on Zuma. "Jacob Zuma, who leads the African National Congress (ANC)—the party once-led by Nelson Mandela— remains in office despite almost 800 charges of corruption leveled against him. Given his continued control of the party, he is likely to survive the vote of no confidence slated to be held in the next month or so." time.com/4777536/africa-change-kenya-angola-rwanda-nigeria/Let us hold our breath as the stench down South blows East.
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Post by podp on Jan 10, 2017 22:36:38 GMT 3
[quote author=" jakaswanga" source="/post/134669/thread" timestamp="1484069859" RIGGING IS THE ELEPHANT IN THE KENYAN ROOM! With the signature of the president, we have now locked ourselves in. We have seven months to blow up or, Argos crew, slither through the masticating Gyrae. Methinks the contradictions between the elite are not unbridgeable. And that is the bottom line in this storm in a tea-cup. Irreconcilable differences exist between certain sectors of the Kenyan polarity YES, but these are not in forceful play in the current battle formation, as we gear toward the coming elections. The coming elections are an ELITE homerun. A done deal. The combat will be ritual, scripted. (wwf professional wrestling?) THE PIT FALLS OF PAROCHIAL MASS ACTION When the threat of mass action is permanently used to merely score intra-elite-class goals, like OKOA KENYA, IEBC, or some other ruling class fixation like the latest Jubilee-filed amendments hurriedly signed by the President yesterday, there is hardly likely to be fluidity between the ethnic demarcations of the coalesced national coalitions. Were Wanjiku's priorities to honestly take center stage in the organization or push for mass action, a progressive coalition across zones would quickly emerge: But how can the oppressors organize meaningful mass action against themselves?Let the elite misuse and underuse the concept of mass action for their parochial intra class skirmishes. The only positive is they serve to ingrain the term mass action in the consciousness of the land and peoples of the land. It will embed and ripen there, waiting for a time to flower in full. [/quote] 3rd red high light see what is happening in Mexico www.aljazeera.com/programmes/insidestory/2017/01/fuel-price-increase-mexico-economy-170109203934678.html and Venezuela edition.cnn.com/videos/world/2016/10/24/venezuela-congress-protests-assembly.cnn and two months ago in South Korea www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-38037799it may eventually come to what you state, some time in the not too distant future 1st red high light Fanon was at his best element when he talked of this type of parties. "When such parties are questioned on the economic programme of the state that they are clamouring for, or on the nature of the regime which they propose to install, they are incapable of replying, because, precisely, they are completely ignorant of the economy of their own country." www.marxists.org/subject/africa/fanon/pitfalls-national.htm 2nd red high light teacher already said "The central problem is this: How can the oppressed, as divided, unauthentic beings, participate in developing the pedagogy of their liberation? Only as they discover themselves to be “hosts” of the oppressor can they contribute to the midwifery of their liberating pedagogy. As long as they live in the duality in which to be is to be like, and to be like is to be like the oppressor, this contribution is impossible. The pedagogy of the oppressed is an instrument for their critical discovery that both they and their oppressors are manifestations of dehumanization. Liberation is thus a childbirth, and a painful one. " selforganizedseminar.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/freire_pedagogy_oppresed1.pdf
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Post by podp on Jan 10, 2017 18:56:29 GMT 3
it goes without saying that Kenya could do with all generation sources that it can muster. the tariff increase did go through and a more recent request was turned down - I am sure due to the impending elections than the economic reasoning that would inform the need for an increase! 2nd red high light here I agree with you. in USA for example 45% of their electricity is from coal. in South Africa in excess of 85% of their electricity is from coal. in Germany with all their sing song of renewables in excess of 44%. so Kenya should not shy away from generating electricity from coal if we wish to industrialise. I am not sure how you were able to get the Kenyatta family involved in the Lamu power project. My reading is the project is by Amu Power Company is a consortium involving Centum, Gulf Energy and Chinese investors. While “5,000+ MW” and the Obama administration’s “Power Africa Program” in Kenya were independently conceived, they are aligned in their goals and to some extent in their timelines as well (http://www.usaid.gov/powerafrica/partners/african -governments/kenya). Investment Opportunities Although the 5000+ MW program is now seen as aspirational, the objectives provide an important signal to the market. Principal among these objectives is to increase geothermal and wind capacity and energy production by a significant amount, and increase the thermal capacity base through the use of natural gas or coal by 1000 MW to 2000 MW. The majority of the 5000 MW will be developed by IPPs through the PPP Act 2013. www.usaid.gov/sites/default/files/documents/1860/Kenya%20_IG_2015_05_03.pdfthe above was just after Obama regime launched the Power Africa initiative and for a while the offices were located in Nairobi before being moved to South Africa. companies like GE were very keen to grow wind energy however for some unexplained reasons GoK preferred the firms associated now with the Mugo Kibati formerly the CEO of Vision 2030 delivery secretariat and now Chairman of Lake Turkana wind company that is building 300 MW capacity there are some causation that may only be explained if PORK is directly involved through family, friends and proxy just like it is difficult to imagine Kafura of NYS carting money without Waiguru's knowledge who in turn would not have been a CS not serving PORK's interests. how does one explain how two Principal Secretaries both hailing from Gatundu, the PORKs backyard happen to straddle both Energy and Petroleum like colossuses? would it be because there are no other Kenyans clever enough to run the Energy and Petroleum ministry or just plain vested interests on PORK's family, friends and proxies? another causation is the similarity with how the Energy Bill 2016 is yet to be signed into law, just like the Mining Bill overstayed witnessing change from Balala to the greenhorn from Kilifi one Kazungu yet it would have streamlined many matters in energy sector. did Chirchir's departure pave a way for another greenhorn, Keter by law, the ERC operates independently from political influence, however in most developing countries the regulators have to serve the interests of CEOs appointing authorities. another causation is the similar tones KQ management is taking to the IPPs having to come up not through Energy Act but PPP Act we all know that " Kenya learned, over successive tender rounds, how to build capacity to design and run effective tenders. Competitive tenders for new power need to be initiated in a timely manner. It can take a year or more to run a competitive tender, and longer to reach finan- cial close, and even longer to construct the plant. Hence, there need to be clear plans for when power is needed and a realistic timeline for its procurement." openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/23970/9781464808005.pdf?sequence=2however the way Jubilee has been running the show for the past 4 or so years negates the above unless one belongs to PORK's family, friends and proxy circles! just as Governor Joho of Mombasa county has stated that those projects e.g. footbridge over some road, PORK has been flagging of do not belong to Jubilee, so too is "the national energy policy of 2004 (Government of Kenya 2004), which included an action plan for the period 2004–07 that set out the government’s commitment to: • Establish a rural electrification authority. • Facilitate the development of a competitive market structure for the generation, distribution, and supply of electricity. • Establish the GDC to undertake an assessment of Kenya’s geothermal resources, including steam-field appraisal and development. • Enact new legislation to, among other things, dissolve the ERB and create a new energy sector regulator—the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC). • Accelerate the increase in the rural electrification rate by 10 percent a year.• Partially privatize KenGen through an initial public offering of 30 percent of its equity through the Nairobi Stock Exchange." openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/23970/9781464808005.pdf?sequence=2Kenya’s 2030 Vision (encompassing social and economic goals) set a new generation target of 23,000 MW by 2030. and this is where Jubilee has proven to be a stumbling block downsizing the initial plans by coming up with the 5,000+ MW for initially 2013 to 2017 and now not even maintaining the initial planning tools like the Least Cost Power Development Plan that stopped with the 2013-2033 not being released hence we still only rely on 2001-2031 and much earlier 2009-2029. "a number of generation projects have been procured through direct negotiations, and without a thorough technical and financial analysis to determine whether the proposed plants meet least-cost planning standards." openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/23970/9781464808005.pdf?sequence=2"The rollout and subsequent scaling back of the 5,000+ MW program sheds light on how planning and procurement are handled in the nation, as well as the role that the private sector has played and will continue to play. The LCPDP does not identify any explicit criteria for the allocation of new build opportunities, a common challenge in hybrid markets. When KenGen is unable to finance new investments, the private sector is invited to participate. Typically, bids for IPPs are requested by the KPLC, and winners selected via a competitive process, although in some cases (such as for the emergency thermal generators required in 2000 and 2011, and tenders for large LNG and coal plants in 2014) procurement has been handled by the government directly or through its appointed agent, KenGen." here is when matters get interesting and again point to vested interests. "With the exception of Kipevu I, all diesel projects, public and IPP alike, have met their availability target; however, IPPs with diesel projects have outper- formed their public sector equivalents....While data on plant availability demonstrate the technical superiority of IPPs over KenGen, electricity prices offer a more nuanced picture." why would one ask, would a government be happy to pay 'private individuals' higher electricity price (22 cts per kW) while shortchanging public utilities? "this system explains part of the cost difference when Rabai is compared with the Tsavo IPP and KenGen’s Kipevu I and Kipevu III plants, also located in Mombasa. Thika Power and Gulf IPP have heat-recovery systems as well, but these plants are located up-country, near Nairobi, and must pay the additional fuel cost for transportation from Mombasa (about 500 kilometers, km). Iberafrica, located in Nairobi, must also pay an additional cost, and has technology similar to that of KenGen’s plants and the Tsavo IPP." it gets interesting if only PORK's family, friends and proxies are in the picture! if the 5,000+ MW had stayed on course "Private participation in generation is not new to Kenya; what is new, how- ever, is the anticipated scale. Until recently, private power played a subsidiary role....But it is expected to play the lead." I am still trying to figure ou why..."There are well-recognized links between the transparency of procurement processes, price outcomes, and the sustainability of projects. Prices have generally declined since the first IPPs were procured, which signals the merits of private power and increased competition. Thermal IPPs demonstrate superior technical performance relative to KenGen’s plants with similar technologies. Pricewise, KenGen’s projects appear to be more competitive, though the least expensive thermal is an IPP. A direct comparison between public projects (KenGen’s plants) and private projects (IPPs) is clouded by the fact that their respective costs of capital have been different." openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/23970/9781464808005.pdf?sequence=2contrast with "Biojoule Kenya sells the power to Gorge Farm and to Kenya Power for $0.10 per kilowatt hour (kWh). Diesel-generated power, by contrast, costs $0.38 per kWh to produce." www.the-star.co.ke/news/2017/01/10/kenyan-firm-becomes-africas-first-biogas-powered-electricity-supplier_c1485325
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Post by podp on Jan 9, 2017 21:30:37 GMT 3
The Proposed Lamu Coal Power Plant It is very likely that power costs could increase by another Sh3-Sh4/kWh if the 1,000MW Lamu Coal Plant project goes ahead as planned. Two untruths: The tariff increase was price review for KPLC as last review was many years ago and not because of idle IPP generators. The importation of coal from SA is short term as the coal mining in Kitui comes through - the reserves in Kitui have been determined as sufficient for the long term. As regards the coal plant and environmental concerns - this is nothing but an elitist view of the environment. The plant will not generate as much power as the power stations just outside OR Tambo airport which are coal powered! it goes without saying that Kenya could do with all generation sources that it can muster. Jubilee government started on a high note af adding 5,000+ MW of electricity to what was already there. however along the way the stealing frenzy saw to it that instead of staying the course of increasing generation quick 'eats' like buying electric poles and wires took the better part in the so called 'street lighting and the Last Mile initiative'. it is no brainer that tenderpreneures prefer buying poles and wires which they can be paid in less than a month after delivery rather than invest in generation. fruits of this blundering can be seen from daily power outages, sometimes paralysing more than 2 former provinces simultaneously e.g. Frequent power blackouts have seen many businesses install standby generators that come on during supply cut-offs, raising their operating costs. www.businessdailyafrica.com/Nairobi--Mount-Kenya-and-Coast-region-hit-by-blackout/539546-3510776-14wpp7hz/index.htmlno wonder sometimes last year "Perhaps a more plausible beef would be the frequent power outages? I await their rebuttal. The article also exposes Jubilee Government's oft-touted claim that power cost has gone down by 30% instead of 10%?." to the article www.standardmedia.co.ke/business/article/2000211395/we-can-t-blame-others-for-high-cost-of-electricity-if-we-fail-to-plan-properlythe same critic had this to say 'The Ministry of Energy (MoE) launched the latest Investment Prospectus (covering 2013-2016) which is for installing 5,000+ MW generation capacities before 2017. In the prospective, the MoE proposes that approximately 1,500 MW will be from geothermal sources, 500 MW will be from wind, 2,000 MW will be coal-fired, and 1,000 MW will be from a liquefied natural gas (LNG) plant. While the system can comfortably absorb the proposed geothermal and wind plants over the next ten years, as shown in the above tentative LCPDP, the 2,000 MW coal-fired and 1,000 MW LNG plant cannot be justified on technical or economic grounds nor, due to lack of adequate demand, can the system absorb them.' www.kenyaengineer.co.ke/dev/index.php/features/item/2389-creating-unnecessary-capacity-a-special-report-on-kenya-s-power-sector1st red high light many months ago the DPORK made it clear to Energy Regulatory Commission that no tariff hike was to be tolerated. "In Summary: The saga of electricity tariffs is but a reflection of what should be expected as the major centres of power in the electricity sector start shifting. What confounded the energy industry most was Mr Ruto’s style and manner of delivering the message Mr Ruto simply summoned top ministry of Energy officials, top officials of ERC and the CEO of Kenya Power, Mr Joseph Njoroge, to his office one afternoon and declared that electricity prices would not be revised upward. Politically, Mr Ruto’s move was a masterstroke. With a new administration having romped into town promising goodies, allowing an increase in electricity tariffs in these early stages of the Kenyatta administration was going to disrupt the honeymoon it was enjoying" www.nation.co.ke/News/Tariff-freeze-order-pushes-Kenya-Power-into-a-tight-corner/-/1056/1856666/-/10p0mpb/-/index.html2nd red high light here I agree with you. in USA for example 45% of their electricity is from coal. in South Africa in excess of 85% of their electricity is from coal. in Germany with all their sing song of renewables in excess of 44%. so Kenya should not shy away from generating electricity from coal if we wish to industrialise. what is fatally wrong with our Lamu planned coal power plant is that no where on earth has any country build coal power plants away from the source. hence the correct place to locate the coal power plant is in Mui basin in Kitui county where abundant coal sources are located. we need to find a way of dealing with our 'aristocrats' namely the Kenyatta, Moi, Kibaki, Odinga etc. families who will not hesitate to Riek Machar versus Silva Kir us if we continue letting them ride rough shod over us. just because the Kenyatta family is involved in the Lamu coal and Kwale gas power plants common sense in power generation is being abandoned to prove the prophesy of Hindpal that makes the current incompetent Cabinet Secretary for Energy parrot 'Energy Cabinet Secretary Charles Keter said having such huge capacity and in the absence of enough consumers would have resulted in the existing consumers shouldering the burden of paying to sustain the power stations which would have been rendered idle. “When you have the equipment running, you have to bill for maintenance and this pushes up the cost of power. If we introduce more capacity, it means that power will be costly because the demand is not there,”.' Read more at: www.standardmedia.co.ke/business/article/2000229172/demand-setback-now-puts-kenya-s-mega-power-plan-on-the-back-burner
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